Montana

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Montana

63.8%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -176

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana 75

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Team Comparison

MontanaMetricIdaho State

45.4MMH Power Index45.9

108.6Offensive Efficiency111.0

104.8Defensive Efficiency113.4

3.8Net Efficiency-2.4

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.2

-6.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

71.2Tempo67.1

56.3%Effective FG%52.2%

19.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

37.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

2.7Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–45.4), offensive efficiency (111.0–108.6), strength of schedule (0.2–-2.4), ball security (16.5–19.2).

Montana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–113.4), net efficiency (3.8–-2.4), recent form (-6.5–-9.6).

Final

Montana

69—73

Idaho State

Idaho State by 4 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MontanaTEAM STATIdaho State

22-48FG26-58

46.0%FG%45.0%

9-213PT7-21

43.0%3PT%33.0%

16-22FT14-17

73.0%FT%82.0%

29Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists8

14Turnovers12

4Steals8

1Blocks7

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Money Williams	G	36	5-13	3-7	6-6	6	4	0	1	19
Tyler Thompson	G	35	3-8	2-6	2-2	1	0	1	0	10
Brooklyn Hicks	G	17	2-5	2-3	4-4	1	1	0	0	10
Grant Kepley	G	36	3-5	1-2	2-6	6	3	1	0	9
Kenyon Aguino	F	27	4-6	1-1	0-0	6	3	1	0	9
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	20	3-5	0-1	1-2	5	0	1	0	7
Trae Taylor	F	8	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Amari Jedkins	F	10	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Tyler Isaak	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Connor Dick	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gus Etchison	PG	27	10-16	4-7	5-7	5	2	2	0	29
Lachlan Brewer	G	30	5-8	1-3	0-0	3	2	1	0	11
Louis Bond	G	26	1-5	0-3	6-6	5	0	3	0	8
Martin Kheil	G	23	2-3	1-2	2-2	0	2	0	0	7
Caleb Van De Griend	F	6	2-4	1-1	1-1	2	0	0	1	6
Blake Daberkow	F	22	2-5	0-0	0-1	6	1	1	4	4
Connor Hollenbeck	F	21	2-10	0-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Jamison Guerra	PG	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Evan Otten	F	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	2
Cheikh Sow	G	21	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

101.8Offensive Efficiency107.7

107.7Defensive Efficiency101.8

-5.9Net Efficiency5.9

55.2%Effective FG%50.9%

59.0%True Shooting %55.2%

20.8%Turnover Rate17.6%

45.8%Free Throw Rate29.3%

43.8%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.