UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%UC Davis

65.0%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -186

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 79

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 83

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricCal State Fullerton

48.4MMH Power Index49.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

103.7Defensive Efficiency107.1

3.5Net Efficiency1.7

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.2

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

72.4Tempo76.3

52.3%Effective FG%52.6%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

41.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

2.5Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (108.8–107.2), strength of schedule (-1.2–-1.9), recent form (2.7–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–107.1), net efficiency (3.5–1.7), offensive rebounding (26.7–25.5).

Final

UC Davis

92—93

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Fullerton by 1 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

28-56FG33-53

50.0%FG%62.0%

12-293PT10-25

41.0%3PT%40.0%

24-32FT17-19

75.0%FT%89.0%

25Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds7

23Assists22

6Turnovers11

8Steals1

2Blocks5

22Fouls26

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nils Cooper	G	32	9-13	0-2	8-8	6	6	2	1	26
Connor Sevilla	G	34	3-6	3-5	4-4	0	0	1	0	13
Brayden Fagbemi	G	25	4-6	2-2	0-1	3	6	1	0	10
Omer Suljanovic	F	21	2-5	2-4	4-6	6	1	0	0	10
Marcus Wilson	G	32	2-9	0-3	5-6	1	6	2	0	9
Isaiah Chappell	F	22	3-11	3-11	0-0	2	2	2	0	9
Jalen Stokes	G	13	2-3	1-1	3-4	1	0	0	0	8
Niko Rocak	F	19	3-3	1-1	0-3	3	2	0	1	7
Cyril Franklin Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Landon Seaman	F	27	9-11	2-4	6-8	7	3	0	1	26
Joshua Ward	G	31	7-13	0-4	4-4	3	4	0	0	18
Jaden Henderson	G	27	5-9	2-5	0-0	5	2	0	1	12
Bailey Nunn	G	32	3-5	3-4	2-2	4	5	0	1	11
KJ Garris	G	19	3-4	2-2	2-2	4	1	1	0	10
Kendrick De Luna	F	13	3-3	0-0	3-3	3	2	0	1	9
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	21	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Bryce Cofield	G	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	4	0	1	2
Christian Williams	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Davis White	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

138.1Offensive Efficiency139.6

139.6Defensive Efficiency138.1

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

60.7%Effective FG%71.7%

64.6%True Shooting %75.0%

8.9%Turnover Rate16.7%

57.1%Free Throw Rate35.8%

51.8%3-Point Rate47.2%

3.83Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.