Michigan

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Michigan

64.5%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.6

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -182

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan 75

Projected Total153.6

Projected ScoreDuke 79

Team Comparison

MichiganMetricDuke

80.9MMH Power Index81.7

122.3Offensive Efficiency122.2

97.0Defensive Efficiency95.2

25.3Net Efficiency27.0

8.7Strength of Schedule7.8

17.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

71.8Tempo66.8

58.8%Effective FG%56.9%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

34.6%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

38.9%Free Throw Rate39.0%

18.1Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–80.9), defensive efficiency (95.2–97.0), net efficiency (27.0–25.3), recent form (18.7–17.2).

Michigan COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (122.3–122.2), strength of schedule (8.7–7.8), shooting efficiency (58.8–56.9).

Final

Michigan

63—68

Duke

Duke by 5 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MichiganTEAM STATDuke

22-55FG25-55

40.0%FG%45.0%

6-253PT6-19

24.0%3PT%32.0%

13-18FT12-17

72.0%FT%71.0%

28Rebounds41

8Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists17

7Turnovers11

7Steals4

7Blocks5

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	39	7-15	3-9	4-6	7	3	1	2	21
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	28	5-10	1-1	2-2	6	1	1	3	13
Aday Mara	C	22	4-4	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	2	10
Elliot Cadeau	G	29	1-8	1-6	5-6	0	6	0	0	8
L.J. Cason	G	14	3-6	1-2	0-2	1	2	2	0	7
Trey McKenney	G	22	1-6	0-3	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Nimari Burnett	G	17	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Will Tschetter	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	34	6-10	1-2	5-7	10	7	0	2	18
Isaiah Evans	G	24	5-15	2-9	2-2	2	0	0	0	14
Caleb Foster	G	27	4-9	2-3	2-2	4	4	0	0	12
Patrick Ngongba II	C	28	4-8	0-1	3-5	6	2	1	2	11
Nikolas Khamenia	G	24	3-4	0-1	0-1	9	1	1	0	6
Dame Sarr	G	27	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Maliq Brown	F	19	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	1	2
Cayden Boozer	G	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

101.8Offensive Efficiency109.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency101.8

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

45.5%Effective FG%50.9%

49.6%True Shooting %53.9%

11.2%Turnover Rate18.0%

32.7%Free Throw Rate30.9%

45.5%3-Point Rate34.5%

2.14Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Duke won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.