Missouri

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.5%Missouri

86.5%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL168.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -641

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri 78

Projected Total168.0

Projected ScoreArkansas 90

Team Comparison

MissouriMetricArkansas

57.2MMH Power Index69.3

115.1Offensive Efficiency122.2

109.7Defensive Efficiency109.8

5.4Net Efficiency12.4

5.0Strength of Schedule8.6

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

68.8Tempo73.8

55.2%Effective FG%56.4%

17.8%Turnover Rate12.2%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

43.1%Free Throw Rate36.5%

3.8Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–57.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.1), net efficiency (12.4–5.4), strength of schedule (8.6–5.0).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.7–109.8), offensive rebounding (34.8–31.8), free throw rate (43.1–36.5).

Final

Missouri

86—94

Arkansas

Arkansas by 8 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MissouriTEAM STATArkansas

31-56FG32-61

55.0%FG%52.0%

7-213PT8-18

33.0%3PT%44.0%

17-23FT22-25

74.0%FT%88.0%

26Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists20

10Turnovers5

2Steals5

4Blocks5

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Mitchell	G	39	8-12	1-1	9-12	4	8	1	0	26
Trent Pierce	G	32	9-15	3-7	1-1	4	0	1	0	22
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	28	5-6	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	1	11
Jayden Stone	G	37	3-6	2-5	2-2	2	2	0	0	10
Trent Burns	C	12	2-5	0-2	2-3	0	0	0	2	6
Anthony Robinson II	G	25	2-4	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	5
T.O. Barrett	G	19	2-5	0-2	1-1	3	5	0	0	5
Jacob Crews	G	8	0-3	0-2	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Billy Richmond III	G	35	9-14	2-3	1-2	1	4	3	2	21
Darius Acuff Jr.	G	35	4-11	1-3	11-13	4	5	1	0	20
Malique Ewin	F	31	6-11	0-0	4-4	8	0	0	1	16
Meleek Thomas	G	37	5-9	2-3	2-2	8	2	1	1	14
Trevon Brazile	F	32	3-9	2-7	4-4	5	6	0	1	12
D.J. Wagner	G	18	3-5	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	7
Nick Pringle	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

125.7Offensive Efficiency137.4

137.4Defensive Efficiency125.7

-11.7Net Efficiency11.7

61.6%Effective FG%59.0%

64.3%True Shooting %64.5%

14.3%Turnover Rate7.5%

41.1%Free Throw Rate41.0%

37.5%3-Point Rate29.5%

1.80Assist / Turnover4.00

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.