North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.9%North Carolina

28.1%Syracuse

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -256

Syracuse

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 78

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreSyracuse 74

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricSyracuse

65.2MMH Power Index52.2

115.5Offensive Efficiency109.2

103.8Defensive Efficiency106.6

11.7Net Efficiency2.6

7.6Strength of Schedule5.6

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.1

69.0Tempo69.0

54.6%Effective FG%52.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %29.0%

38.1%Free Throw Rate36.2%

8.1Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–52.2), offensive efficiency (115.5–109.2), defensive efficiency (103.8–106.6), net efficiency (11.7–2.6).

Final

North Carolina

77—64

Syracuse

North Carolina by 13 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATSyracuse

28-54FG25-59

52.0%FG%42.0%

6-163PT3-17

38.0%3PT%18.0%

15-28FT11-16

54.0%FT%69.0%

38Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists6

10Turnovers10

5Steals4

4Blocks5

18Fouls23

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Henri Veesaar	C	26	9-13	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	3	19
Luka Bogavac	G	31	5-10	0-2	3-7	6	2	0	0	13
Seth Trimble	G	30	5-7	0-0	3-7	5	2	2	0	13
Zayden High	F	19	2-4	1-1	4-6	11	0	1	0	9
Derek Dixon	G	32	2-7	1-4	2-2	4	4	1	0	7
Jarin Stevenson	F	31	2-7	0-2	3-6	4	1	1	1	7
Jonathan Powell	G	17	2-5	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Kyan Evans	G	8	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jaydon Young	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
J.J. Starling	G	34	10-19	0-1	2-3	4	2	0	0	22
Tyler Betsey	F	22	3-5	3-5	1-3	0	0	1	0	10
Donnie Freeman	F	28	3-8	0-3	3-4	7	0	0	3	9
Naithan George	G	35	2-11	0-5	3-4	3	1	1	1	7
Sadiq White Jr.	F	18	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
William Kyle III	F	28	2-4	0-0	0-0	8	1	2	1	4
Nate Kingz	G	20	2-6	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Kiyan Anthony	G	14	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Ibrahim Souare	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

113.4Offensive Efficiency94.3

94.3Defensive Efficiency113.4

19.1Net Efficiency-19.1

57.4%Effective FG%44.9%

57.2%True Shooting %48.0%

14.6%Turnover Rate14.8%

51.9%Free Throw Rate27.1%

29.6%3-Point Rate28.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.