UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.7%UConn

33.3%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL146.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -200

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 75

Projected Total146.1

Projected ScoreVillanova 71

Team Comparison

UConnMetricVillanova

70.2MMH Power Index59.4

116.3Offensive Efficiency114.7

98.4Defensive Efficiency105.9

17.9Net Efficiency8.8

6.3Strength of Schedule4.4

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

66.2Tempo67.3

55.0%Effective FG%53.9%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.4%

11.8Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–59.4), offensive efficiency (116.3–114.7), defensive efficiency (98.4–105.9), net efficiency (17.9–8.8).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–16.4), free throw rate (31.4–30.7).

Final

UConn

73—63

Villanova

UConn by 10 • 63.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATVillanova

28-51FG24-59

55.0%FG%41.0%

6-193PT6-24

32.0%3PT%25.0%

11-13FT9-14

85.0%FT%64.0%

37Rebounds24

10Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists12

14Turnovers10

3Steals8

8Blocks4

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Karaban	F	34	5-8	0-2	2-2	5	2	1	2	12
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	23	5-5	0-0	1-2	6	3	1	3	11
Braylon Mullins	G	25	4-7	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	10
Solo Ball	G	30	4-8	1-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	9
Silas Demary Jr.	G	29	3-12	1-5	2-2	3	6	0	0	9
Eric Reibe	C	17	3-5	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	1	8
Jaylin Stewart	F	13	2-2	2-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Jayden Ross	F	17	0-1	0-1	4-5	2	1	0	2	4
Malachi Smith	G	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	4

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Perkins	G	32	6-13	2-5	1-2	6	2	0	0	15
Matt Hodge	F	34	5-9	2-5	1-1	4	0	1	1	13
Acaden Lewis	G	25	5-13	1-4	0-2	1	4	2	0	11
Bryce Lindsay	G	20	2-6	1-4	4-4	1	2	1	0	9
Duke Brennan	F	29	2-3	0-0	3-4	3	1	1	1	7
Chris Jeffrey	G	13	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	2	0	4
Malachi Palmer	G	18	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Braden Pierce	C	11	1-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	2	2
Devin Askew	G	18	0-5	0-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.0Possessions63.0

115.9Offensive Efficiency100.0

100.0Defensive Efficiency115.9

15.9Net Efficiency-15.9

60.8%Effective FG%45.8%

63.8%True Shooting %48.0%

22.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

25.5%Free Throw Rate23.7%

37.3%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

UConn won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 63.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.