Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

73.0%Illinois

27.0%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -5.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -270

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 79

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreUCLA 73

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricUCLA

76.5MMH Power Index63

125.0Offensive Efficiency115.9

103.3Defensive Efficiency106.9

21.7Net Efficiency9.0

6.7Strength of Schedule5.1

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

66.5Tempo66.5

54.8%Effective FG%53.5%

13.1%Turnover Rate13.4%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

33.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

14.5Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–63.0), offensive efficiency (125.0–115.9), defensive efficiency (103.3–106.9), net efficiency (21.7–9.0).

Final

Illinois

94—95

UCLA

UCLA by 1 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATUCLA

28-69FG34-67

41.0%FG%51.0%

13-423PT11-28

31.0%3PT%39.0%

25-31FT16-19

81.0%FT%84.0%

43Rebounds27

20Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists21

9Turnovers5

2Steals5

5Blocks1

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keaton Wagler	G	39	5-15	1-6	8-8	8	6	1	2	19
Tomislav Ivisic	C	33	5-9	1-5	5-6	6	2	0	0	16
Ben Humrichous	F	29	5-10	5-10	0-0	5	1	0	1	15
Kylan Boswell	G	33	4-9	2-4	3-4	6	5	1	0	13
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	17	4-6	1-2	2-2	3	0	0	2	11
Jake Davis	F	22	3-8	3-8	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
Andrej Stojakovic	G	27	1-5	0-3	6-9	3	1	0	0	8
David Mirkovic	F	25	1-7	0-4	1-2	5	4	0	0	3

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	29	8-13	3-6	1-2	6	2	2	0	20
Tyler Bilodeau	F	35	6-11	2-5	4-4	4	0	1	0	18
Trent Perry	G	45	4-9	2-4	7-7	4	4	0	0	17
Xavier Booker	F	24	7-8	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	16
Donovan Dent	G	42	5-15	0-2	4-6	3	15	1	1	14
Skyy Clark	G	26	4-7	2-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	10
Eric Freeny	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jamar Brown	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Steven Jamerson II	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brandon Williams	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

128.9Offensive Efficiency130.3

130.3Defensive Efficiency128.9

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

50.0%Effective FG%59.0%

56.1%True Shooting %62.5%

12.4%Turnover Rate6.8%

44.9%Free Throw Rate28.4%

60.9%3-Point Rate41.8%

2.11Assist / Turnover4.20

Game Summary

UCLA won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.