Kentucky

22-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Kentucky

63.8%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL162.4

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -176

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKentucky 79

Projected Total162.4

Projected ScoreAuburn 83

Team Comparison

KentuckyMetricAuburn

63.9MMH Power Index64.4

115.2Offensive Efficiency118.8

106.3Defensive Efficiency113.0

8.9Net Efficiency5.8

8.7Strength of Schedule7.5

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

69.9Tempo69.8

53.2%Effective FG%53.1%

15.4%Turnover Rate14.5%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

38.0%Free Throw Rate43.8%

6.2Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–63.9), offensive efficiency (118.8–115.2), recent form (8.0–-1.0), ball security (14.5–15.4).

Kentucky COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.3–113.0), net efficiency (8.9–5.8), strength of schedule (8.7–7.5).

Final

Kentucky

74—75

Auburn

Auburn by 1 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

KentuckyTEAM STATAuburn

27-65FG25-62

42.0%FG%40.0%

6-233PT5-19

26.0%3PT%26.0%

14-17FT20-24

82.0%FT%83.0%

38Rebounds33

17Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists12

14Turnovers11

7Steals9

3Blocks5

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Otega Oweh	G	35	11-20	1-3	6-8	7	3	1	0	29
Denzel Aberdeen	G	38	5-14	3-8	2-2	1	3	1	0	15
Collin Chandler	G	25	3-8	1-6	3-3	3	2	1	0	10
Malachi Moreno	C	24	3-6	0-0	1-2	7	4	0	1	7
Andrija Jelavic	F	13	2-6	1-3	0-0	4	1	2	0	5
Mouhamed Dioubate	F	30	1-5	0-1	2-2	6	0	1	2	4
Brandon Garrison	F	14	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	4
Trent Noah	F	19	0-2	0-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Jasper Johnson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KeShawn Murphy	F	24	9-14	1-1	6-6	10	1	0	2	25
Elyjah Freeman	G	27	5-12	1-4	0-0	3	0	1	1	11
Keyshawn Hall	F	37	3-15	1-6	3-3	9	7	1	0	10
Kevin Overton	G	31	3-6	1-3	3-3	1	0	0	2	10
Tahaad Pettiford	G	35	2-9	1-4	4-4	3	3	2	0	9
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	29	1-3	0-1	3-6	3	1	2	0	5
Filip Jovic	F	15	2-3	0-0	1-2	1	0	3	0	5
Blake Muschalek	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

104.5Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency104.5

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

46.2%Effective FG%44.4%

50.6%True Shooting %51.1%

20.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

26.2%Free Throw Rate38.7%

35.4%3-Point Rate30.6%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Auburn won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.