Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%Ohio State

75.0%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -300

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 72

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreMichigan State 80

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricMichigan State

64.5MMH Power Index69.8

118.1Offensive Efficiency117.0

108.1Defensive Efficiency101.5

10.0Net Efficiency15.5

6.4Strength of Schedule7.2

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

67.2Tempo67.3

56.9%Effective FG%54.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

38.3%Free Throw Rate36.6%

6.7Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–64.5), defensive efficiency (101.5–108.1), net efficiency (15.5–10.0), strength of schedule (7.2–6.4).

Ohio State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.1–117.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–54.1), ball security (15.3–17.2).

Final

Ohio State

60—66

Michigan State

Michigan State by 6 • 61.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATMichigan State

23-52FG22-55

44.0%FG%40.0%

4-223PT4-15

18.0%3PT%27.0%

10-17FT18-25

59.0%FT%72.0%

26Rebounds43

4Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists18

5Turnovers9

5Steals2

2Blocks2

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bruce Thornton	G	40	12-22	2-8	6-8	5	2	2	0	32
Christoph Tilly	C	29	5-6	0-0	0-3	7	1	2	1	10
Ivan Njegovan	C	14	2-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Taison Chatman	G	32	2-8	1-5	0-0	3	3	0	1	5
Colin White	F	25	1-2	1-2	0-2	4	1	1	0	3
Puff Johnson	G	20	0-4	0-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Gabe Cupps	G	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Amare Bynum	F	29	0-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Cooper	C	34	7-10	0-0	6-6	11	3	0	0	20
Jordan Scott	F	31	4-7	1-2	3-5	4	3	0	1	12
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	35	2-7	1-1	6-6	1	8	2	0	11
Jaxon Kohler	F	17	4-8	1-4	0-0	10	0	0	0	9
Coen Carr	F	32	2-7	0-1	1-4	8	1	0	0	5
Kur Teng	G	23	2-9	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Cam Ward	F	15	1-3	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	1	4
Denham Wojcik	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Jesse McCulloch	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trey Fort	G	4	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.0Possessions61.0

98.4Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency98.4

-9.8Net Efficiency9.8

48.1%Effective FG%43.6%

49.9%True Shooting %49.3%

8.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

32.7%Free Throw Rate45.5%

42.3%3-Point Rate27.3%

1.80Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 61.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.