Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.6%Louisville

57.4%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -135

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 78

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 80

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricNorth Carolina

67.1MMH Power Index65.2

118.6Offensive Efficiency115.5

102.2Defensive Efficiency103.8

16.4Net Efficiency11.7

6.0Strength of Schedule7.6

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

71.0Tempo69.0

56.9%Effective FG%54.6%

16.8%Turnover Rate13.9%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

34.1%Free Throw Rate38.1%

11.7Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–65.2), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.5), defensive efficiency (102.2–103.8), net efficiency (16.4–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.6–6.0), ball security (13.9–16.8), free throw rate (38.1–34.1).

Final

Louisville

74—77

North Carolina

North Carolina by 3 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATNorth Carolina

26-67FG30-56

39.0%FG%54.0%

14-393PT8-22

36.0%3PT%36.0%

8-11FT9-19

73.0%FT%47.0%

41Rebounds32

16Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists13

10Turnovers9

9Steals5

4Blocks3

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikel Brown Jr.	G	33	9-25	6-14	0-0	3	2	0	0	24
Ryan Conwell	G	29	7-19	4-11	5-5	2	1	2	0	23
J'Vonne Hadley	G	31	6-8	2-3	0-0	6	1	0	1	14
Khani Rooths	F	21	1-1	1-1	1-2	6	0	1	0	4
Adrian Wooley	G	12	1-2	1-2	1-2	5	0	1	0	4
Sananda Fru	F	16	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	2	2	3	3
Vangelis Zougris	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	2
Isaac McKneely	G	24	0-5	0-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Aly Khalifa	C	11	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kobe Rodgers	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Kasean Pryor	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Seth Trimble	G	37	11-16	1-3	7-11	4	4	1	0	30
Henri Veesaar	C	30	6-12	0-2	0-1	2	0	1	0	12
Luka Bogavac	G	29	5-10	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	12
Jarin Stevenson	F	33	3-6	2-4	1-4	7	1	2	2	9
Derek Dixon	G	24	2-4	2-4	1-2	1	1	0	0	7
Zayden High	F	16	2-5	0-2	0-1	6	3	1	1	4
Kyan Evans	G	16	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Jonathan Powell	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaydon Young	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

111.1Offensive Efficiency115.6

115.6Defensive Efficiency111.1

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

49.3%Effective FG%60.7%

51.2%True Shooting %59.2%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.4%

16.4%Free Throw Rate33.9%

58.2%3-Point Rate39.3%

0.90Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.