Duke logo

Duke

35-3
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
95.5%Duke
4.5%Notre Dame
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADDuke -18.2
PROJECTED TOTAL149.4
MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -2122
Notre Dame logo

Notre Dame

13-17
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreDuke 84
Projected Total149.4
Projected ScoreNotre Dame 66

Team Comparison

81.7MMH Power Index49.7
122.2Offensive Efficiency110.3
95.2Defensive Efficiency111.2
27.0Net Efficiency-0.9
7.8Strength of Schedule4.7
18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.6
66.8Tempo68.0
56.9%Effective FG%53.0%
15.9%Turnover Rate17.0%
38.2%Offensive Rebound %31.4%
39.0%Free Throw Rate34.7%
18.0Average Margin-0.6
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.5%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
110
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–49.7), offensive efficiency (122.2–110.3), defensive efficiency (95.2–111.2), net efficiency (27.0–-0.9).
Final
Duke logo
Duke
10056
Notre Dame logo
Notre Dame
Duke by 4471.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATNotre Dame
27-59FG19-52
46.0%FG%37.0%
12-333PT7-26
36.0%3PT%27.0%
34-38FT11-19
89.0%FT%58.0%
49Rebounds27
14Offensive Rebounds5
20Assists9
9Turnovers15
11Steals1
1Blocks
20Fouls22

Player Box Score

Duke
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Cameron BoozerF245-82-212-14132300024
Darren HarrisG174-92-56-621200016
Caleb FosterG224-63-52-223000013
Patrick Ngongba IIC154-50-05-632000013
Isaiah EvansG222-72-64-433000010
Cayden BoozerG213-90-44-434000010
Dame SarrG263-62-50-05020008
Nikolas KhameniaG222-61-41-26200006
Maliq BrownF220-30-20-010231000
Cameron SheffieldG50-00-00-00000000
Jack ScottG40-00-00-00110000
Notre Dame
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Cole CertaG313-112-76-621000014
Brady KoehlerF275-92-52-351000014
Sir MohammedG285-81-10-122100011
Matthew MacLellanF82-20-02-21000006
Carson TowtF242-40-00-27100004
Logan ImesG231-31-20-01100003
Ryder FrostF151-61-60-02100003
Brady StevensG50-00-01-21000001
Braeden ShrewsberryG270-70-30-13100000
Garrett SundraF120-20-20-22100000

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6
139.7Offensive Efficiency78.2
78.2Defensive Efficiency139.7
61.5Net Efficiency-61.5
55.9%Effective FG%43.3%
64.9%True Shooting %45.9%
12.5%Turnover Rate21.1%
64.4%Free Throw Rate36.5%
55.9%3-Point Rate50.0%
2.22Assist / Turnover0.60
Game Summary
Duke won by 44 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.