Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.7%Auburn

56.3%Oklahoma

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOklahoma -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL165.8

MODEL MONEYLINEOklahoma -129

Oklahoma

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 81

Projected Total165.8

Projected ScoreOklahoma 84

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricOklahoma

64.4MMH Power Index62.1

118.8Offensive Efficiency119.5

113.0Defensive Efficiency111.6

5.8Net Efficiency7.9

7.5Strength of Schedule3.2

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.3

69.8Tempo69.4

53.1%Effective FG%55.1%

14.5%Turnover Rate14.4%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

43.8%Free Throw Rate36.2%

4.1Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Oklahoma HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOklahoma holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (119.5–118.8), defensive efficiency (111.6–113.0), net efficiency (7.9–5.8), recent form (12.3–8.0).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (64.4–62.1), strength of schedule (7.5–3.2), offensive rebounding (36.5–32.4).

Final

Auburn

79—91

Oklahoma

Oklahoma by 12 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATOklahoma

25-53FG30-57

47.0%FG%53.0%

8-193PT13-19

42.0%3PT%68.0%

21-27FT18-25

78.0%FT%72.0%

35Rebounds28

14Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists12

14Turnovers9

6Steals10

7Blocks6

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevin Overton	G	40	9-17	5-10	3-4	7	2	0	0	26
Keyshawn Hall	F	32	7-10	1-1	11-11	6	1	0	1	26
Elyjah Freeman	G	30	2-5	1-3	3-4	4	2	2	3	8
Filip Jovic	F	23	2-2	0-0	3-4	8	3	2	0	7
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	32	2-4	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	3	4
Tahaad Pettiford	G	29	1-9	1-5	1-2	2	3	1	0	4
KeShawn Murphy	F	14	2-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4

Oklahoma

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nijel Pack	G	29	8-13	6-8	0-0	1	2	0	0	22
Mohamed Wague	F	25	4-7	0-0	10-12	9	1	4	4	18
Derrion Reid	F	33	6-9	2-2	2-3	4	1	0	0	16
Xzayvier Brown	G	33	6-11	2-4	0-0	3	4	1	0	14
Jadon Jones	G	24	3-5	3-4	0-2	3	2	2	1	9
Dayton Forsythe	G	20	1-5	0-1	5-6	2	0	1	0	7
Tae Davis	F	26	2-6	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	4
Kirill Elatontsev	C	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	1	1
Kai Rogers	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

119.0Offensive Efficiency137.0

137.0Defensive Efficiency119.0

-18.1Net Efficiency18.1

54.7%Effective FG%64.0%

60.0%True Shooting %66.1%

21.3%Turnover Rate13.5%

50.9%Free Throw Rate43.9%

35.8%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Oklahoma won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.