USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.5%USC

89.5%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -13.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -852

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 71

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreUCLA 84

Team Comparison

USCMetricUCLA

48.3MMH Power Index63

108.5Offensive Efficiency115.9

107.6Defensive Efficiency106.9

0.9Net Efficiency9.0

2.5Strength of Schedule5.1

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

72.4Tempo66.5

50.7%Effective FG%53.5%

17.2%Turnover Rate13.4%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

45.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

0.7Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCLA HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCLA holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.0–48.3), offensive efficiency (115.9–108.5), defensive efficiency (106.9–107.6), net efficiency (9.0–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–30.7), free throw rate (45.3–33.8).

Final

USC

62—81

UCLA

UCLA by 19 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATUCLA

21-60FG31-63

35.0%FG%49.0%

8-263PT7-20

31.0%3PT%35.0%

12-16FT12-14

75.0%FT%86.0%

41Rebounds31

17Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists18

14Turnovers5

2Steals8

5Blocks4

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	35	8-16	5-9	4-7	8	2	0	2	25
Alijah Arenas	G	21	2-8	0-2	6-6	4	0	1	0	10
Kam Woods	G	30	4-9	1-3	0-0	5	3	1	0	9
Ezra Ausar	F	26	3-9	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
Terrance Williams II	F	28	1-3	1-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	3
Jacob Cofie	F	27	1-7	1-4	0-0	5	4	0	2	3
Ryan Cornish	G	15	0-3	0-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Jaden Brownell	F	5	1-3	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Gabe Dynes	C	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Jerry Easter II	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jordan Marsh	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	37	10-16	5-6	5-6	2	8	0	0	30
Trent Perry	G	34	6-9	0-0	1-1	3	4	4	1	13
Tyler Bilodeau	F	28	6-14	0-2	1-1	9	2	0	0	13
Xavier Booker	F	26	3-8	1-4	4-4	4	1	1	3	11
Eric Freeny	G	18	3-5	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	7
Skyy Clark	G	24	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Brandon Williams	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	18	0-4	0-3	1-2	1	0	2	0	1
Steven Jamerson II	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jamar Brown	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

94.4Offensive Efficiency123.3

123.3Defensive Efficiency94.4

-28.9Net Efficiency28.9

41.7%Effective FG%54.8%

45.9%True Shooting %58.1%

21.7%Turnover Rate7.5%

26.7%Free Throw Rate22.2%

43.3%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.79Assist / Turnover3.60

Game Summary

UCLA won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.