St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%St. John's

62.2%UConn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -165

UConn

34-5

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 72

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreUConn 76

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricUConn

70.3MMH Power Index70.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency116.3

97.6Defensive Efficiency98.4

16.8Net Efficiency17.9

5.5Strength of Schedule6.3

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.4

70.9Tempo66.2

51.3%Effective FG%55.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %35.4%

41.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

11.9Average Margin11.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–70.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–98.4), recent form (11.4–9.4), ball security (14.3–16.4).

UConn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.3–114.4), net efficiency (17.9–16.8), strength of schedule (6.3–5.5).

Final

St. John's

40—72

UConn

UConn by 32 • 58.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATUConn

11-56FG28-59

20.0%FG%47.0%

5-203PT7-25

25.0%3PT%28.0%

13-17FT9-11

76.0%FT%82.0%

37Rebounds41

16Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists20

8Turnovers5

—Steals6

4Blocks9

11Fouls18

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Joson Sanon	G	18	3-10	2-5	2-3	1	0	0	10
Bryce Hopkins	F	29	3-14	1-3	1-2	5	0	0	8
Ruben Prey	F	17	1-3	0-1	5-6	2	2	1	7
Zuby Ejiofor	F	23	2-5	1-1	1-2	4	2	1	6
Oziyah Sellers	G	33	1-6	0-2	2-2	3	2	1	4
Ian Jackson	G	14	1-6	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	3
Dylan Darling	G	15	0-5	0-3	2-2	5	0	0	2
Dillon Mitchell	F	37	0-4	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	0
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	9	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	30	9-14	0-0	2-2	11	3	2	6	20
Alex Karaban	F	35	6-13	2-7	0-0	5	2	0	1	14
Solo Ball	G	32	4-7	2-5	1-2	1	4	0	0	11
Braylon Mullins	G	27	3-9	3-8	0-0	3	3	1	2	9
Silas Demary Jr.	G	28	2-5	0-1	3-4	8	5	1	0	7
Jayden Ross	F	17	2-5	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Dwayne Koroma	F	3	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Malachi Smith	G	14	1-3	0-0	1-1	3	2	2	0	3
Eric Reibe	C	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Alec Millender	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Uroš Paunovic	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jacob Furphy	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.2Possessions58.2

68.7Offensive Efficiency123.7

123.7Defensive Efficiency68.7

-55.0Net Efficiency55.0

24.1%Effective FG%53.4%

31.2%True Shooting %56.1%

14.3%Turnover Rate8.3%

30.4%Free Throw Rate18.6%

35.7%3-Point Rate42.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover4.00

Game Summary

UConn won by 32 points. The game played at approximately 58.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.