Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Michigan State

70.8%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -242

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 73

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScorePurdue 79

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricPurdue

69.8MMH Power Index73.2

117.0Offensive Efficiency124.8

101.5Defensive Efficiency107.8

15.5Net Efficiency17.0

7.2Strength of Schedule7.6

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

67.3Tempo65.4

54.1%Effective FG%57.8%

17.2%Turnover Rate13.7%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

36.6%Free Throw Rate29.1%

10.5Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–69.8), offensive efficiency (124.8–117.0), net efficiency (17.0–15.5), strength of schedule (7.6–7.2).

Michigan State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.5–107.8), offensive rebounding (37.7–36.2), free throw rate (36.6–29.1).

Final

Michigan State

76—74

Purdue

Michigan State by 2 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATPurdue

29-55FG28-57

53.0%FG%49.0%

6-193PT12-25

32.0%3PT%48.0%

12-16FT6-9

75.0%FT%67.0%

25Rebounds27

6Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists23

6Turnovers9

6Steals3

1Blocks3

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Cooper	C	30	6-9	0-0	3-3	6	1	1	1	15
Kur Teng	G	20	4-8	3-6	2-2	3	1	1	0	13
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	36	5-10	1-3	1-1	1	6	0	0	12
Coen Carr	F	31	5-9	0-2	1-2	5	1	0	0	11
Jordan Scott	F	34	2-5	1-2	4-5	1	3	1	0	9
Jaxon Kohler	F	25	3-10	1-6	1-2	3	3	1	0	8
Cam Ward	F	20	4-4	0-0	0-1	4	0	2	0	8
Denham Wojcik	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Smith	G	37	4-10	2-7	2-2	5	10	1	0	12
Jack Benter	G	17	4-6	3-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	33	4-8	0-0	2-4	6	7	0	1	10
Oscar Cluff	C	21	5-9	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	10
Fletcher Loyer	G	31	3-7	2-5	0-0	1	4	0	0	8
C.J. Cox	G	19	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	1	2	0	6
Omer Mayer	G	16	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Daniel Jacobsen	C	11	3-5	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	1	6
Gicarri Harris	G	15	1-4	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	5

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

121.6Offensive Efficiency118.4

118.4Defensive Efficiency121.6

3.2Net Efficiency-3.2

58.2%Effective FG%59.6%

60.7%True Shooting %60.4%

9.6%Turnover Rate14.5%

29.1%Free Throw Rate15.8%

34.5%3-Point Rate43.9%

2.50Assist / Turnover2.56

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.