Michigan

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Michigan

50.5%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -102

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan 79

Projected Total157.9

Projected ScoreIllinois 79

Team Comparison

MichiganMetricIllinois

80.9MMH Power Index76.5

122.3Offensive Efficiency125.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency103.3

25.3Net Efficiency21.7

8.7Strength of Schedule6.7

17.2Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

71.8Tempo66.5

58.8%Effective FG%54.8%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.1%

34.6%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

38.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

18.1Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–76.5), defensive efficiency (97.0–103.3), net efficiency (25.3–21.7), strength of schedule (8.7–6.7).

Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (125.0–122.3), ball security (13.1–16.4), offensive rebounding (39.3–34.6).

Final

Michigan

84—70

Illinois

Michigan by 14 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MichiganTEAM STATIllinois

31-59FG26-63

53.0%FG%41.0%

8-223PT9-29

36.0%3PT%31.0%

14-17FT9-12

82.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds30

11Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists9

10Turnovers10

6Steals5

4Blocks3

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	33	6-10	1-2	6-8	11	1	1	0	19
Aday Mara	C	22	8-9	0-0	3-3	5	2	0	2	19
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	39	6-11	2-6	2-2	7	4	2	2	16
L.J. Cason	G	13	3-5	1-2	2-2	1	2	1	0	9
Elliot Cadeau	G	27	3-9	0-3	1-2	3	5	1	0	7
Trey McKenney	G	22	2-6	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Nimari Burnett	G	17	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Will Tschetter	F	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	10	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keaton Wagler	G	38	7-17	3-6	6-7	4	3	2	0	23
Kylan Boswell	G	34	6-14	1-6	2-4	1	2	2	0	15
David Mirkovic	F	36	5-10	1-3	1-1	10	2	1	1	12
Tomislav Ivisic	C	27	3-10	1-6	0-0	4	1	0	1	7
Jake Davis	F	23	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Ben Humrichous	F	19	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	11	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Andrej Stojakovic	G	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

126.5Offensive Efficiency105.4

105.4Defensive Efficiency126.5

21.1Net Efficiency-21.1

59.3%Effective FG%48.4%

62.6%True Shooting %50.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

28.8%Free Throw Rate19.0%

37.3%3-Point Rate46.0%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Michigan won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.