Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.1%Villanova

84.9%St. John's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -11.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -562

St. John's

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 70

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreSt. John's 82

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricSt. John's

59.4MMH Power Index70.3

114.7Offensive Efficiency114.4

105.9Defensive Efficiency97.6

8.8Net Efficiency16.8

4.4Strength of Schedule5.5

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency11.4

67.3Tempo70.9

53.9%Effective FG%51.3%

15.0%Turnover Rate14.3%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

31.4%Free Throw Rate41.1%

5.9Average Margin11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–59.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–105.9), net efficiency (16.8–8.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.4).

Villanova COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.7–114.4), shooting efficiency (53.9–51.3).

Final

Villanova

57—89

St. John's

St. John's by 32 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATSt. John's

20-54FG32-61

37.0%FG%52.0%

7-233PT8-15

30.0%3PT%53.0%

10-16FT17-24

63.0%FT%71.0%

26Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists26

16Turnovers8

4Steals11

2Blocks5

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duke Brennan	F	29	4-6	0-0	4-8	8	3	0	1	12
Bryce Lindsay	G	27	3-11	1-6	3-3	1	0	0	0	10
Devin Askew	G	27	4-10	2-5	0-0	4	3	2	0	10
Acaden Lewis	G	24	3-9	1-4	1-3	3	2	0	0	8
Matt Hodge	F	14	2-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Chris Jeffrey	G	10	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	1	1	0	4
Tyler Perkins	G	29	1-5	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	1	3
Malachi Palmer	G	29	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Braden Pierce	C	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Jackson	G	22	5-11	2-5	7-8	5	1	5	0	19
Zuby Ejiofor	F	30	6-12	1-1	3-5	12	10	1	3	16
Oziyah Sellers	G	24	6-8	2-3	0-0	2	3	0	0	14
Ruben Prey	F	10	3-4	1-1	3-4	5	1	0	0	10
Dillon Mitchell	F	28	3-3	0-0	2-4	1	2	0	1	8
Dylan Darling	G	21	3-8	1-1	0-0	2	4	2	0	7
Bryce Hopkins	F	23	2-4	1-2	1-2	3	0	1	0	6
Joson Sanon	G	24	2-7	0-2	1-1	4	2	0	1	5
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Lefteris Liotopoulos	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Handje Tamba	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Fotis Konstantinidis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

78.6Offensive Efficiency122.8

122.8Defensive Efficiency78.6

-44.1Net Efficiency44.1

43.5%Effective FG%59.0%

46.3%True Shooting %61.5%

22.0%Turnover Rate11.0%

29.6%Free Throw Rate39.3%

42.6%3-Point Rate24.6%

0.69Assist / Turnover3.25

Game Summary

St. John's won by 32 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.