Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Providence

52.7%Creighton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCreighton -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL164.2

MODEL MONEYLINECreighton -111

Creighton

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 81

Projected Total164.2

Projected ScoreCreighton 83

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricCreighton

54.2MMH Power Index50.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.0

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.5

1.8Net Efficiency-0.5

4.0Strength of Schedule5.1

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

74.2Tempo68.9

55.0%Effective FG%53.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

37.3%Free Throw Rate29.0%

1.3Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–50.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.5), recent form (-1.3–-5.2).

Creighton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–113.2), strength of schedule (5.1–4.0), ball security (16.6–16.7).

Final

Providence

79—76

Creighton

Providence by 3 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATCreighton

32-63FG26-61

51.0%FG%43.0%

8-193PT9-27

42.0%3PT%33.0%

7-8FT15-17

88.0%FT%88.0%

31Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists17

7Turnovers10

5Steals3

3Blocks4

16Fouls9

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	34	11-18	5-8	0-1	4	1	0	0	27
Jason Edwards	G	36	7-17	0-6	4-4	2	4	1	0	18
Ryan Mela	G	36	4-10	1-2	2-2	6	1	1	0	11
Jamier Jones	F	25	4-9	0-0	1-1	2	2	2	0	9
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	30	4-5	0-0	0-0	11	0	1	3	8
Nilavan Daniels	G	16	2-2	2-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Cole Hargrove	F	19	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Peteris Pinnis	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Dix	G	36	6-12	4-8	2-2	3	0	1	0	18
Austin Swartz	G	25	7-14	1-6	3-3	7	2	0	0	18
Jasen Green	F	31	4-6	2-2	2-2	7	8	0	2	12
Nik Graves	G	35	1-12	0-5	8-10	1	6	1	1	10
Blake Harper	G	19	3-7	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	0	6
Hudson Greer	G	10	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Kerem Konan	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Isaac Traudt	F	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Fedor Zugic	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ty Davis	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

116.3Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.9Defensive Efficiency116.3

4.4Net Efficiency-4.4

57.1%Effective FG%50.0%

59.1%True Shooting %55.0%

10.3%Turnover Rate14.7%

12.7%Free Throw Rate27.9%

30.2%3-Point Rate44.3%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Providence won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.