Gonzaga

31-4

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.1%Gonzaga

46.9%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -113

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGonzaga 74

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 73

Team Comparison

GonzagaMetricSaint Mary's

76.4MMH Power Index70.7

119.7Offensive Efficiency116.7

94.0Defensive Efficiency97.4

25.7Net Efficiency19.3

3.0Strength of Schedule3.0

18.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

70.4Tempo66.3

55.7%Effective FG%53.1%

13.6%Turnover Rate16.6%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

31.5%Free Throw Rate36.8%

18.1Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–70.7), offensive efficiency (119.7–116.7), defensive efficiency (94.0–97.4), net efficiency (25.7–19.3).

Saint Mary's COUNTERS WITHrecent form (18.6–18.2), offensive rebounding (37.4–35.0), free throw rate (36.8–31.5).

Final

Gonzaga

59—70

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 11 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

GonzagaTEAM STATSaint Mary's

22-56FG23-66

39.0%FG%35.0%

5-173PT16-33

29.0%3PT%48.0%

10-12FT8-11

83.0%FT%73.0%

37Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists15

11Turnovers6

1Steals5

4Blocks4

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	35	7-14	2-5	1-1	4	1	0	0	17
Adam Miller	G	30	5-13	1-5	3-3	2	0	0	0	14
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	28	3-7	0-0	4-4	6	2	0	3	10
Davis Fogle	G	27	4-9	1-3	0-0	5	2	0	1	9
Emmanuel Innocenti	F	37	3-8	1-3	0-2	9	4	1	0	7
Braeden Smith	G	20	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	3	0	0	2
Mario Saint-Supery	G	20	0-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Ismaila Diagne	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mikey Lewis	G	37	10-21	7-13	4-4	5	4	1	0	31
Joshua Dent	G	40	5-12	4-6	0-1	0	1	1	0	14
Mantas Juzenas	G	10	4-6	4-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	12
Paulius Murauskas	F	31	2-10	1-4	4-4	8	2	0	0	9
Harry Wessels	C	27	1-4	0-0	0-0	7	3	0	1	2
Andrew McKeever	C	12	1-7	0-0	0-2	8	1	0	0	2
Dillan Shaw	G	36	0-6	0-4	0-0	10	4	3	3	0
Rory Hawke	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Liam Campbell	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

92.2Offensive Efficiency109.4

109.4Defensive Efficiency92.2

-17.2Net Efficiency17.2

43.8%Effective FG%47.0%

47.8%True Shooting %49.1%

16.7%Turnover Rate9.6%

21.4%Free Throw Rate16.7%

30.4%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.18Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.