Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.6%Michigan State

31.4%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -218

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 77

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreIndiana 73

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricIndiana

69.8MMH Power Index58.2

117.0Offensive Efficiency116.0

101.5Defensive Efficiency107.1

15.5Net Efficiency8.9

7.2Strength of Schedule5.2

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

67.3Tempo67.4

54.1%Effective FG%56.0%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

36.6%Free Throw Rate35.8%

10.5Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–58.2), offensive efficiency (117.0–116.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–107.1), net efficiency (15.5–8.9).

Indiana COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.0–54.1), ball security (15.1–17.2).

Final

Michigan State

77—64

Indiana

Michigan State by 13 • 60.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATIndiana

25-51FG22-56

49.0%FG%39.0%

12-243PT10-35

50.0%3PT%29.0%

15-19FT10-13

79.0%FT%77.0%

35Rebounds27

10Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists8

9Turnovers7

2Steals4

3Blocks3

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	37	7-13	2-5	5-6	4	9	1	0	21
Jaxon Kohler	F	32	7-12	3-5	4-4	13	2	0	1	21
Kur Teng	G	29	6-8	6-8	0-0	2	0	0	0	18
Coen Carr	F	36	2-6	0-2	2-3	2	0	0	1	6
Carson Cooper	C	21	1-3	0-0	2-4	3	2	0	0	4
Cam Ward	F	17	1-5	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	1	4
Jordan Scott	F	16	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Trey Fort	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Denham Wojcik	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lamar Wilkerson	G	40	11-21	5-14	2-2	1	1	0	0	29
Tucker DeVries	F	40	6-16	3-12	5-5	6	2	2	1	20
Sam Alexis	F	31	3-6	0-0	2-4	5	3	0	1	8
Nick Dorn	G	28	1-5	1-4	1-2	3	0	0	0	4
Conor Enright	G	27	1-7	1-5	0-0	3	2	1	0	3
Jasai Miles	G	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	0
Reed Bailey	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Tayton Conerway	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.1Possessions60.1

128.1Offensive Efficiency106.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency128.1

21.6Net Efficiency-21.6

60.8%Effective FG%48.2%

64.1%True Shooting %51.5%

15.2%Turnover Rate11.4%

37.3%Free Throw Rate23.2%

47.1%3-Point Rate62.5%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 60.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.