Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

87.0%Duke

13.0%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -669

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreNC State 72

Team Comparison

DukeMetricNC State

81.7MMH Power Index60.1

122.2Offensive Efficiency118.4

95.2Defensive Efficiency108.6

27.0Net Efficiency9.8

7.8Strength of Schedule6.4

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

66.8Tempo70.2

56.9%Effective FG%55.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate13.1%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.0%Free Throw Rate35.7%

18.0Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (122.2–118.4), defensive efficiency (95.2–108.6), net efficiency (27.0–9.8).

NC State COUNTERS WITHball security (13.1–15.9).

Final

Duke

93—64

NC State

Duke by 29 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATNC State

32-59FG23-65

54.0%FG%35.0%

11-283PT7-29

39.0%3PT%24.0%

18-27FT11-17

67.0%FT%65.0%

44Rebounds32

14Offensive Rebounds15

24Assists12

7Turnovers6

3Steals6

3Blocks4

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	32	8-10	1-2	9-11	9	6	0	0	26
Dame Sarr	G	22	5-10	3-6	3-4	9	1	0	0	16
Isaiah Evans	G	26	4-8	4-8	0-0	2	1	0	0	12
Patrick Ngongba II	C	19	4-6	0-0	3-4	5	1	0	0	11
Nikolas Khamenia	G	17	3-7	1-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	7
Caleb Foster	G	25	2-8	1-5	1-2	4	7	0	0	6
Darren Harris	G	14	1-3	1-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
Maliq Brown	F	20	2-2	0-0	0-4	4	3	3	2	4
Cayden Boozer	G	19	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	3	0	1	4
Jack Scott	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Cameron Sheffield	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darrion Williams	F	29	6-17	3-11	2-2	1	0	1	0	17
Quadir Copeland	G	26	3-10	1-3	4-6	2	5	1	0	11
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	34	2-8	2-7	3-3	2	1	1	0	9
Matt Able	G	32	4-12	1-6	0-0	5	3	2	0	9
Alyn Breed	G	16	2-8	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	12	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Musa Sagnia	F	17	2-4	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	1	4
Terrance Arceneaux	G	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	1	2
Scottie Ebube	C	11	0-0	0-0	0-4	4	0	0	2	0
Tre Holloman	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

144.4Offensive Efficiency99.4

99.4Defensive Efficiency144.4

45.0Net Efficiency-45.0

63.6%Effective FG%40.8%

64.7%True Shooting %43.8%

10.8%Turnover Rate9.4%

45.8%Free Throw Rate26.2%

47.5%3-Point Rate44.6%

3.43Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Duke won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.