Iowa State

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.8%Iowa State

72.2%Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona -260

Arizona

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa State 73

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreArizona 80

Team Comparison

Iowa StateMetricArizona

75.9MMH Power Index79.9

119.3Offensive Efficiency120.3

96.0Defensive Efficiency96.9

23.3Net Efficiency23.4

4.9Strength of Schedule8.0

17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency17.0

68.4Tempo71.6

56.1%Effective FG%55.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %37.8%

35.2%Free Throw Rate45.3%

15.9Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.9–75.9), offensive efficiency (120.3–119.3), net efficiency (23.4–23.3), strength of schedule (8.0–4.9).

Iowa State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (96.0–96.9), recent form (17.5–17.0), shooting efficiency (56.1–55.0).

Final

Iowa State

57—73

Arizona

Arizona by 16 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Iowa StateTEAM STATArizona

19-65FG22-48

29.0%FG%46.0%

7-303PT6-18

23.0%3PT%33.0%

12-13FT23-26

92.0%FT%88.0%

33Rebounds40

15Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists14

11Turnovers15

8Steals8

2Blocks6

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tamin Lipsey	G	32	6-15	2-7	3-3	6	2	1	0	17
Jamarion Batemon	G	27	5-14	4-10	0-0	0	1	0	0	14
Joshua Jefferson	F	28	2-17	0-5	8-8	8	2	2	1	12
Milan Momcilovic	F	33	2-8	1-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Blake Buchanan	F	23	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	1	4
Dominick Nelson	G	1	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	1	0	3
Killyan Toure	G	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Nate Heise	G	24	0-3	0-1	0-0	5	1	1	0	0
Dominykas Pleta	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Eric Mulder	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Kelderman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Bradley	G	36	4-10	0-1	9-10	4	2	3	0	17
Motiejus Krivas	C	24	3-4	1-1	6-6	3	0	0	1	13
Brayden Burries	G	24	4-9	1-5	2-2	6	3	0	0	11
Tobe Awaka	F	25	2-2	0-0	6-6	15	1	1	2	10
Anthony Dell'Orso	G	21	3-6	2-5	0-0	2	4	0	0	8
Dwayne Aristode	F	16	3-6	2-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Koa Peat	F	29	2-6	0-0	0-2	4	3	1	3	4
Addison Arnold	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Ivan Kharchenkov	F	20	0-4	0-3	0-0	4	0	2	0	0
Sidi Gueye	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Sven Djopmo	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jackson Francois	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Evan Nelson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

85.3Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency85.3

-24.0Net Efficiency24.0

34.6%Effective FG%52.1%

40.0%True Shooting %60.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate22.6%

20.0%Free Throw Rate54.2%

46.2%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.91Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Arizona won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.