Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.7%Oregon

97.3%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -23.5

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -3604

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 63

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreIllinois 87

Team Comparison

OregonMetricIllinois

48.9MMH Power Index76.5

106.4Offensive Efficiency125.0

110.7Defensive Efficiency103.3

-4.3Net Efficiency21.7

6.0Strength of Schedule6.7

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

66.7Tempo66.5

49.9%Effective FG%54.8%

17.8%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

36.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-2.9Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–48.9), offensive efficiency (125.0–106.4), defensive efficiency (103.3–110.7), net efficiency (21.7–-4.3).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (36.9–33.8).

Final

Oregon

54—80

Illinois

Illinois by 26 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATIllinois

21-64FG29-71

33.0%FG%41.0%

5-293PT10-36

17.0%3PT%28.0%

7-9FT12-14

78.0%FT%86.0%

36Rebounds48

9Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists13

8Turnovers6

3Steals6

5Blocks3

12Fouls9

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Bittle	C	35	7-15	1-7	0-0	5	0	1	3	15
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	36	4-13	1-6	4-4	8	1	0	2	13
Takai Simpkins	G	33	4-12	1-4	0-0	6	5	0	0	9
Oleksandr Kobzystyi	F	11	3-4	1-2	0-1	0	0	0	0	7
Luke Johnson	F	7	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Sean Stewart	F	28	1-5	0-0	1-2	8	1	0	0	3
Efe Vatan	F	2	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Drew Carter	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Dezdrick Lindsay	F	16	0-5	0-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Jamari Phillips	G	14	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Stojakovic	G	21	7-12	0-2	7-7	12	2	1	0	21
David Mirkovic	F	27	8-15	3-8	0-0	7	1	0	0	19
Keaton Wagler	G	34	4-11	2-6	1-2	6	5	0	0	11
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	17	3-6	0-2	2-2	5	0	0	2	8
Ben Humrichous	F	22	2-5	2-4	0-0	3	0	2	1	6
Jake Davis	F	22	1-5	1-5	2-3	1	1	1	0	5
AJ Redd	G	3	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Kylan Boswell	G	22	1-6	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Tomislav Ivisic	C	24	1-6	0-4	0-0	8	2	2	0	2
Mihailo Petrovic	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Brandon Lee	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Blake Fagbemi	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

78.8Offensive Efficiency116.8

116.8Defensive Efficiency78.8

-38.0Net Efficiency38.0

36.7%Effective FG%47.9%

39.5%True Shooting %51.5%

11.9%Turnover Rate8.6%

14.1%Free Throw Rate19.7%

45.3%3-Point Rate50.7%

1.25Assist / Turnover2.17

Game Summary

Illinois won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.