Florida

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.7%Florida

34.3%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL170.5

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida -192

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida 87

Projected Total170.5

Projected ScoreArkansas 83

Team Comparison

FloridaMetricArkansas

79.7MMH Power Index69.3

120.9Offensive Efficiency122.2

99.3Defensive Efficiency109.8

21.6Net Efficiency12.4

7.1Strength of Schedule8.6

24.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

72.0Tempo73.8

54.2%Effective FG%56.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate12.2%

42.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

39.8%Free Throw Rate36.5%

15.6Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.7–69.3), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.8), net efficiency (21.6–12.4), recent form (24.2–3.4).

Arkansas COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (122.2–120.9), strength of schedule (8.6–7.1), shooting efficiency (56.4–54.2).

Final

Florida

71—63

Arkansas

Florida by 8 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FloridaTEAM STATArkansas

25-64FG18-60

39.0%FG%30.0%

8-283PT3-16

29.0%3PT%19.0%

13-20FT24-35

65.0%FT%69.0%

49Rebounds39

16Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists10

10Turnovers8

4Steals6

7Blocks8

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alijah Martin	Guard	27	5-11	4-7	0-0	4	1	1	1	14
Will Richard	Guard	35	4-11	1-6	3-5	8	1	2	0	12
Walter Clayton Jr.	Guard	34	4-15	2-9	2-2	3	5	0	0	12
Alex Condon	F	25	4-7	1-1	3-5	10	4	0	3	12
Thomas Haugh	F	22	3-6	0-2	2-2	7	0	1	1	8
Sam Alexis	F	13	2-5	0-0	2-3	7	0	0	0	6
Denzel Aberdeen	G	24	2-7	0-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	5
Rueben Chinyelu	C	20	1-2	0-0	0-1	7	1	0	2	2

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adou Thiero	Forward	20	4-10	0-1	9-12	3	0	1	1	17
Boogie Fland	G	34	4-13	2-3	5-5	3	4	1	0	15
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	32	4-5	0-0	3-6	9	2	0	3	11
D.J. Wagner	G	39	3-11	1-4	2-4	4	3	1	0	9
Trevon Brazile	F	27	2-3	0-0	3-6	6	0	3	2	7
Karter Knox	G	18	1-7	0-2	2-2	4	1	0	1	4
Johnell Davis	Guard	20	0-8	0-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Billy Richmond III	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

103.5Offensive Efficiency91.8

91.8Defensive Efficiency103.5

11.7Net Efficiency-11.7

45.3%Effective FG%32.5%

48.3%True Shooting %41.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate11.5%

31.3%Free Throw Rate58.3%

43.8%3-Point Rate26.7%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Florida won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.