LSU

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%LSU

83.8%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL165.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -517

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLSU 78

Projected Total165.5

Projected ScoreAuburn 88

Team Comparison

LSUMetricAuburn

54.2MMH Power Index64.4

115.5Offensive Efficiency118.8

111.3Defensive Efficiency113.0

4.2Net Efficiency5.8

4.5Strength of Schedule7.5

-12.8Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

70.5Tempo69.8

53.4%Effective FG%53.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.5%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

41.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

2.9Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–54.2), offensive efficiency (118.8–115.5), net efficiency (5.8–4.2), strength of schedule (7.5–4.5).

LSU COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.3–113.0), shooting efficiency (53.4–53.1).

Final

LSU

74—88

Auburn

Auburn by 14 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LSUTEAM STATAuburn

24-44FG31-57

55.0%FG%54.0%

7-153PT10-24

47.0%3PT%42.0%

19-26FT16-22

73.0%FT%73.0%

27Rebounds27

5Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists15

16Turnovers9

7Steals13

2Blocks5

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mike Nwoko	F	29	4-6	0-0	11-13	5	1	0	1	19
Jalen Reece	G	38	3-8	2-3	4-5	2	6	1	0	12
Pablo Tamba	F	33	6-9	0-2	0-2	9	4	4	0	12
Marquel Sutton	F	29	4-6	1-1	1-2	6	1	0	0	10
PJ Carter	G	23	3-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Robert Miller III	F	10	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1	5
Max Mackinnon	G	23	1-6	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Mazi Mosley	G	3	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Rashad King	G	12	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	0	2

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahaad Pettiford	G	31	10-16	4-7	3-4	2	6	4	0	27
Kevin Overton	G	38	6-10	4-6	5-5	2	1	2	1	21
Keyshawn Hall	F	36	6-12	0-3	5-6	6	3	1	1	17
Elyjah Freeman	G	29	4-6	2-3	0-1	6	1	1	1	10
KeShawn Murphy	F	25	3-7	0-3	3-4	4	4	1	0	9
Filip Jovic	F	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	4
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	19	0-2	0-1	0-2	5	0	2	1	0
Blake Muschalek	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Reed Trapp	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
CJ Williams	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

109.6Offensive Efficiency130.4

130.4Defensive Efficiency109.6

-20.7Net Efficiency20.7

62.5%Effective FG%63.2%

65.7%True Shooting %65.2%

23.8%Turnover Rate13.3%

59.1%Free Throw Rate38.6%

34.1%3-Point Rate42.1%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Auburn won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.