Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.4%Purdue

18.6%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -8.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -438

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 79

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 71

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricNorthwestern

73.2MMH Power Index55.4

124.8Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.8Defensive Efficiency109.8

17.0Net Efficiency1.8

7.6Strength of Schedule5.6

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

65.4Tempo65.6

57.8%Effective FG%51.9%

13.7%Turnover Rate13.0%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

29.1%Free Throw Rate34.8%

11.1Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–55.4), offensive efficiency (124.8–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.8–109.8), net efficiency (17.0–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–13.7), free throw rate (34.8–29.1).

Final

Purdue

70—66

Northwestern

Purdue by 4 • 57.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATNorthwestern

26-49FG24-47

53.0%FG%51.0%

9-243PT7-16

38.0%3PT%44.0%

9-11FT11-12

82.0%FT%92.0%

29Rebounds15

9Offensive Rebounds4

22Assists14

14Turnovers7

2Steals7

1Blocks3

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
C.J. Cox	G	28	10-13	5-8	2-2	3	3	0	0	27
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	29	5-9	0-0	1-2	10	2	0	0	11
Fletcher Loyer	G	31	4-9	2-6	0-0	2	2	1	0	10
Oscar Cluff	C	30	4-5	0-0	1-2	7	3	1	1	9
Braden Smith	G	40	1-5	0-3	5-5	3	9	0	0	7
Jack Benter	G	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Gicarri Harris	G	12	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Omer Mayer	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Daniel Jacobsen	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	38	9-19	2-5	8-8	1	3	0	0	28
Jayden Reid	G	34	6-10	2-3	2-2	0	4	2	1	16
Jordan Clayton	G	24	3-4	2-3	0-0	1	2	3	0	8
Arrinten Page	F	26	3-5	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	2	7
Tre Singleton	F	25	1-4	0-2	1-2	3	2	1	0	3
Angelo Ciaravino	G	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Tyler Kropp	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Justin Mullins	G	26	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
K.J. Windham	G	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

57.5Possessions57.5

121.7Offensive Efficiency114.8

114.8Defensive Efficiency121.7

7.0Net Efficiency-7.0

62.2%Effective FG%58.5%

64.5%True Shooting %62.6%

23.6%Turnover Rate12.6%

22.4%Free Throw Rate25.5%

49.0%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.57Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Purdue won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 57.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.