Rutgers

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.0%Rutgers

96.0%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -21.6

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -2400

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRutgers 63

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreMichigan State 85

Team Comparison

RutgersMetricMichigan State

45.9MMH Power Index69.8

104.2Offensive Efficiency117.0

112.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

-8.0Net Efficiency15.5

3.9Strength of Schedule7.2

-1.6Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

67.4Tempo67.3

47.4%Effective FG%54.1%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

36.3%Free Throw Rate36.6%

-5.4Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–45.9), offensive efficiency (117.0–104.2), defensive efficiency (101.5–112.2), net efficiency (15.5–-8.0).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHball security (15.0–17.2).

Final

Rutgers

87—91

Michigan State

Michigan State by 4 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RutgersTEAM STATMichigan State

31-65FG31-53

48.0%FG%58.0%

10-183PT4-12

56.0%3PT%33.0%

15-19FT25-30

79.0%FT%83.0%

21Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists19

8Turnovers15

9Steals4

1Blocks7

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	31	8-17	4-5	5-5	0	5	3	0	25
Lino Mark	G	26	6-11	1-1	1-2	0	4	0	0	14
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	20	6-7	0-0	1-1	6	0	1	0	13
Kaden Powers	G	15	4-7	3-4	0-0	1	2	2	0	11
Darren Buchanan Jr.	G	35	3-8	1-3	2-3	5	3	1	0	9
Chris Nwuli	F	17	1-1	1-1	3-4	0	0	0	0	6
Harun Zrno	G	14	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
Dylan Grant	F	24	1-8	0-2	1-2	6	0	1	1	3
Jamichael Davis	G	18	0-3	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	2

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coen Carr	F	32	6-9	1-2	8-8	6	0	0	0	21
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	28	7-10	1-2	6-9	1	8	2	0	21
Jaxon Kohler	F	29	6-11	1-4	2-2	7	2	1	0	15
Carson Cooper	C	29	4-6	0-0	6-8	6	0	0	2	14
Cam Ward	F	20	4-6	0-0	1-1	9	1	1	3	9
Jordan Scott	F	29	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	2	5
Kur Teng	G	17	2-6	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	4
Trey Fort	G	3	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Denham Wojcik	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

120.5Offensive Efficiency126.0

126.0Defensive Efficiency120.5

-5.5Net Efficiency5.5

55.4%Effective FG%62.3%

58.8%True Shooting %67.7%

10.8%Turnover Rate21.4%

29.2%Free Throw Rate56.6%

27.7%3-Point Rate22.6%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.