Wisconsin

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%Wisconsin

81.4%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -438

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWisconsin 75

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScorePurdue 84

Team Comparison

WisconsinMetricPurdue

64.5MMH Power Index73.2

118.6Offensive Efficiency124.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency107.8

9.8Net Efficiency17.0

6.7Strength of Schedule7.6

5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

69.9Tempo65.4

54.6%Effective FG%57.8%

12.8%Turnover Rate13.7%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

32.5%Free Throw Rate29.1%

6.9Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–64.5), offensive efficiency (124.8–118.6), defensive efficiency (107.8–108.8), net efficiency (17.0–9.8).

Wisconsin COUNTERS WITHball security (12.8–13.7), free throw rate (32.5–29.1).

Final

Wisconsin

97—93

Purdue

Wisconsin by 4 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WisconsinTEAM STATPurdue

29-52FG34-67

56.0%FG%51.0%

18-343PT11-25

53.0%3PT%44.0%

21-24FT14-19

88.0%FT%74.0%

22Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds16

19Assists20

8Turnovers7

4Steals5

1Blocks5

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Blackwell	G	38	7-13	5-10	6-7	4	1	1	0	25
Nick Boyd	G	33	8-13	1-3	6-7	3	5	0	0	23
Austin Rapp	F	32	4-8	4-8	5-6	3	3	1	0	17
Aleksas Bieliauskas	F	36	5-8	4-5	2-2	2	1	1	0	16
Braeden Carrington	G	20	2-5	2-5	2-2	2	5	0	0	8
Andrew Rohde	G	30	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	4	0	0	6
Hayden Jones	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	2
Will Garlock	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fletcher Loyer	G	36	8-13	6-9	1-1	3	2	2	0	23
Braden Smith	G	37	8-18	2-7	2-2	3	9	2	1	20
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	23	7-14	0-0	3-5	3	3	0	1	17
Oscar Cluff	C	27	3-4	0-0	4-5	8	2	0	3	10
Omer Mayer	G	14	3-7	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
Daniel Jacobsen	C	13	2-2	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	0	7
C.J. Cox	G	29	2-7	1-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	5
Jack Benter	G	17	1-2	1-2	1-2	2	2	1	0	4
Gicarri Harris	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

147.6Offensive Efficiency141.6

141.6Defensive Efficiency147.6

6.1Net Efficiency-6.1

73.1%Effective FG%59.0%

76.5%True Shooting %61.2%

12.4%Turnover Rate10.4%

46.2%Free Throw Rate28.4%

65.4%3-Point Rate37.3%

2.38Assist / Turnover2.86

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.