Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.8%Arkansas

30.2%Missouri

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL168.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -231

Missouri

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 86

Projected Total168.0

Projected ScoreMissouri 82

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricMissouri

69.3MMH Power Index57.2

122.2Offensive Efficiency115.1

109.8Defensive Efficiency109.7

12.4Net Efficiency5.4

8.6Strength of Schedule5.0

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

73.8Tempo68.8

56.4%Effective FG%55.2%

12.2%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate43.1%

9.2Average Margin3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–57.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.1), net efficiency (12.4–5.4), strength of schedule (8.6–5.0).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.7–109.8), offensive rebounding (34.8–31.8), free throw rate (43.1–36.5).

Final

Arkansas

88—84

Missouri

Arkansas by 4 • 76.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATMissouri

33-67FG30-63

49.0%FG%48.0%

8-163PT6-20

50.0%3PT%30.0%

14-22FT18-24

64.0%FT%75.0%

38Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists11

11Turnovers13

8Steals6

5Blocks4

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Meleek Thomas	G	45	10-23	5-6	5-6	7	2	1	1	30
Trevon Brazile	F	44	7-13	2-4	1-3	9	1	3	1	17
Malique Ewin	F	31	6-12	1-1	4-7	9	0	1	2	17
D.J. Wagner	G	45	4-10	0-4	2-4	4	5	1	0	10
Billy Richmond III	G	39	4-7	0-1	2-2	6	4	2	1	10
Nick Pringle	F	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Isaiah Sealy	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Mitchell	G	43	11-20	1-3	9-11	4	4	1	0	32
Trent Pierce	G	39	5-11	3-7	0-1	6	0	1	0	13
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	36	5-8	0-0	3-4	10	0	0	4	13
Jayden Stone	G	30	4-7	2-5	1-2	6	0	2	0	11
T.O. Barrett	G	29	4-12	0-2	2-2	1	2	1	0	10
Anthony Robinson II	G	33	1-4	0-2	3-4	3	5	1	0	5
Jacob Crews	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Trent Burns	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.5Possessions76.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency115.0

5.2Net Efficiency-5.2

55.2%Effective FG%52.4%

56.8%True Shooting %56.5%

14.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

32.8%Free Throw Rate38.1%

23.9%3-Point Rate31.7%

1.18Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 76.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.