UConn

34-5

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.5%UConn

18.5%Marquette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUConn -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUConn -441

Marquette

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUConn 78

Projected Total147.7

Projected ScoreMarquette 69

Team Comparison

UConnMetricMarquette

70.2MMH Power Index52.3

116.3Offensive Efficiency106.0

98.4Defensive Efficiency106.9

17.9Net Efficiency-0.9

6.3Strength of Schedule4.2

9.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

66.2Tempo70.9

55.0%Effective FG%50.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

35.4%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.8%

11.8Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UConn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUConn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.2–52.3), offensive efficiency (116.3–106.0), defensive efficiency (98.4–106.9), net efficiency (17.9–-0.9).

Marquette COUNTERS WITHball security (16.0–16.4), free throw rate (33.8–30.7).

Final

UConn

62—68

Marquette

Marquette by 6 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UConnTEAM STATMarquette

21-59FG23-48

36.0%FG%48.0%

3-243PT8-21

13.0%3PT%38.0%

17-18FT14-23

94.0%FT%61.0%

40Rebounds25

16Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists16

16Turnovers13

7Steals10

2Blocks—

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

UConn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Silas Demary Jr.	G	38	4-9	0-1	9-10	4	8	1	0	17
Tarris Reed Jr.	C	29	7-10	0-0	2-2	10	2	0	0	16
Braylon Mullins	G	33	4-15	1-10	0-0	2	1	1	1	9
Solo Ball	G	25	2-10	2-7	2-2	5	2	0	0	8
Jayden Ross	F	22	2-4	0-1	2-2	7	1	2	1	6
Eric Reibe	C	11	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Alex Karaban	F	40	0-6	0-5	2-2	8	2	2	0	2
Malachi Smith	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Marquette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nigel James Jr.	G	33	7-19	1-7	4-5	2	7	2	19
Chase Ross	G	38	4-7	2-4	4-6	5	3	1	14
Royce Parham	F	37	4-6	2-3	3-6	5	0	1	13
Adrien Stevens	G	35	3-8	2-5	3-6	5	2	3	11
Ben Gold	F	15	3-4	1-1	0-0	4	0	2	7
Caedin Hamilton	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	4
Damarius Owens	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0
Tre Norman	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0
Michael Phillips II	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Casey O'Malley	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jonah Lucas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

92.1Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency92.1

-8.9Net Efficiency8.9

38.1%Effective FG%56.3%

45.9%True Shooting %57.7%

23.7%Turnover Rate19.4%

30.5%Free Throw Rate47.9%

40.7%3-Point Rate43.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Marquette won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.