Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.6%Arizona State

96.4%Iowa State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa State -22.2

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa State -2678

Iowa State

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 65

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreIowa State 88

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricIowa State

51MMH Power Index75.9

108.1Offensive Efficiency119.3

110.9Defensive Efficiency96.0

-2.8Net Efficiency23.3

7.0Strength of Schedule4.9

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency17.5

70.6Tempo68.4

51.3%Effective FG%56.1%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

40.2%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-1.9Average Margin15.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (75.9–51.0), offensive efficiency (119.3–108.1), defensive efficiency (96.0–110.9), net efficiency (23.3–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–4.9), free throw rate (40.2–35.2).

Final

Arizona State

65—86

Iowa State

Iowa State by 21 • 73.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATIowa State

20-43FG29-66

47.0%FG%44.0%

7-233PT11-29

30.0%3PT%38.0%

18-22FT17-22

82.0%FT%77.0%

29Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists18

23Turnovers9

5Steals16

4Blocks2

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Massamba Diop	C	28	2-4	0-2	8-9	3	0	1	2	12
Maurice Odum	G	30	4-8	2-5	0-0	4	7	0	0	10
Anthony Johnson	G	24	4-8	0-2	2-3	3	0	2	0	10
Andrija Grbovic	F	29	2-5	2-5	2-2	1	0	1	0	8
Noah Meeusen	G	29	2-4	0-2	3-4	2	3	0	0	7
Bryce Ford	G	14	2-7	1-5	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Trevor Best	G	8	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Allen Mukeba	F	20	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	3	0	0	3
Santiago Trouet	F	18	1-3	1-1	0-0	6	0	0	2	3

Iowa State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Milan Momcilovic	F	36	4-10	4-9	4-4	3	3	1	0	16
Tamin Lipsey	G	35	5-12	2-4	4-7	2	6	6	0	16
Joshua Jefferson	F	30	5-12	2-5	4-6	7	3	2	1	16
Jamarion Batemon	G	22	5-9	3-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	13
Dominykas Pleta	F	14	4-5	0-0	3-3	5	1	2	0	11
Blake Buchanan	F	22	4-8	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	8
Killyan Toure	G	16	1-6	0-3	2-2	2	1	2	0	4
Nate Heise	G	20	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	4	2	0	2
Eric Mulder	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dominick Nelson	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Kelderman	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.0Possessions73.0

89.0Offensive Efficiency117.8

117.8Defensive Efficiency89.0

-28.8Net Efficiency28.8

54.7%Effective FG%52.3%

60.8%True Shooting %56.2%

31.7%Turnover Rate12.3%

51.2%Free Throw Rate33.3%

53.5%3-Point Rate43.9%

0.57Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Iowa State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 73.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.