North Carolina

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.7%North Carolina

91.3%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -15.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -1049

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 67

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreDuke 83

Team Comparison

North CarolinaMetricDuke

65.2MMH Power Index81.7

115.5Offensive Efficiency122.2

103.8Defensive Efficiency95.2

11.7Net Efficiency27.0

7.6Strength of Schedule7.8

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

69.0Tempo66.8

54.6%Effective FG%56.9%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

38.1%Free Throw Rate39.0%

8.1Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–65.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.5), defensive efficiency (95.2–103.8), net efficiency (27.0–11.7).

North Carolina COUNTERS WITHball security (13.9–15.9).

Final

North Carolina

61—76

Duke

Duke by 15 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North CarolinaTEAM STATDuke

24-53FG29-69

45.0%FG%42.0%

9-243PT10-32

38.0%3PT%31.0%

4-4FT8-15

100.0%FT%53.0%

29Rebounds42

5Offensive Rebounds18

14Assists15

14Turnovers8

4Steals11

5Blocks5

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derek Dixon	G	32	5-9	5-8	2-2	1	3	1	0	17
Henri Veesaar	C	33	5-7	1-2	0-0	9	3	0	1	11
Seth Trimble	G	38	5-11	0-3	0-0	2	6	0	1	10
Jarin Stevenson	F	33	4-9	0-3	2-2	9	0	0	2	10
Luka Bogavac	G	22	2-6	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Zayden High	F	14	2-4	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	1	5
Jaydon Young	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Jonathan Powell	G	12	0-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Boozer	F	37	10-17	2-4	4-6	15	5	0	0	26
Maliq Brown	F	30	6-9	1-3	2-3	10	2	5	1	15
Isaiah Evans	G	27	4-14	3-9	0-2	1	2	1	1	11
Dame Sarr	G	34	4-10	2-5	0-0	3	1	1	1	10
Cayden Boozer	G	29	3-6	1-3	0-0	5	3	0	0	7
Caleb Foster	G	11	2-6	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	5
Darren Harris	G	12	0-3	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Nikolas Khamenia	G	18	0-4	0-3	0-2	2	0	3	2	0
Jack Scott	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Sheffield	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

93.8Offensive Efficiency116.9

116.9Defensive Efficiency93.8

-23.1Net Efficiency23.1

53.8%Effective FG%49.3%

55.6%True Shooting %49.9%

21.9%Turnover Rate12.1%

7.5%Free Throw Rate21.7%

45.3%3-Point Rate46.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Duke won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.