Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.4%Auburn

74.6%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -8.1

PROJECTED TOTAL174.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -294

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 83

Projected Total174.2

Projected ScoreAlabama 91

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricAlabama

64.4MMH Power Index69.5

118.8Offensive Efficiency121.6

113.0Defensive Efficiency111.2

5.8Net Efficiency10.4

7.5Strength of Schedule9.4

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

69.8Tempo74.7

53.1%Effective FG%54.9%

14.5%Turnover Rate13.0%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

43.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

4.1Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–64.4), offensive efficiency (121.6–118.8), defensive efficiency (111.2–113.0), net efficiency (10.4–5.8).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (36.5–32.1), free throw rate (43.8–36.9).

Final

Auburn

84—96

Alabama

Alabama by 12 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATAlabama

30-59FG36-69

51.0%FG%52.0%

8-233PT7-27

35.0%3PT%26.0%

16-19FT17-26

84.0%FT%65.0%

28Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds19

13Assists12

13Turnovers8

5Steals6

4Blocks6

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevin Overton	G	33	9-15	4-10	2-2	5	1	0	0	24
Tahaad Pettiford	G	35	7-16	1-3	4-5	2	4	4	1	19
Keyshawn Hall	F	31	4-8	2-5	3-3	6	1	0	0	13
Elyjah Freeman	G	34	4-9	1-4	2-2	2	2	1	1	11
KeShawn Murphy	F	24	3-6	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	2	8
Sebastian Williams-Adams	F	22	2-2	0-0	1-3	2	3	0	0	5
Filip Jovic	F	16	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Blake Muschalek	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Labaron Philon Jr.	G	29	8-16	2-7	3-4	1	4	1	0	21
Aden Holloway	G	28	6-14	3-7	6-6	3	1	1	0	21
Amari Allen	F	24	8-12	0-1	0-1	5	1	1	1	16
London Jemison	F	13	4-5	1-1	2-2	4	1	2	0	11
Aiden Sherrell	F	23	3-5	0-1	4-9	6	1	0	3	10
Latrell Wrightsell	G	26	4-9	0-5	0-0	7	0	1	0	8
Jalil Bethea	G	9	2-3	1-2	1-2	1	1	0	1	6
Noah Williamson	C	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	17	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	1	1
Houston Mallette	G	20	0-2	0-1	0-0	7	2	0	0	0
Preston Murphy Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

118.0Offensive Efficiency134.8

134.8Defensive Efficiency118.0

-16.9Net Efficiency16.9

57.6%Effective FG%57.2%

61.7%True Shooting %59.0%

18.0%Turnover Rate11.4%

32.2%Free Throw Rate37.7%

39.0%3-Point Rate39.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Alabama won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.