Michigan State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.9%Michigan State

85.1%Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan -571

Michigan

36-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMichigan State 71

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreMichigan 84

Team Comparison

Michigan StateMetricMichigan

69.8MMH Power Index80.9

117.0Offensive Efficiency122.3

101.5Defensive Efficiency97.0

15.5Net Efficiency25.3

7.2Strength of Schedule8.7

9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency17.2

67.3Tempo71.8

54.1%Effective FG%58.8%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.4%

37.7%Offensive Rebound %34.6%

36.6%Free Throw Rate38.9%

10.5Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (80.9–69.8), offensive efficiency (122.3–117.0), defensive efficiency (97.0–101.5), net efficiency (25.3–15.5).

Michigan State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (37.7–34.6).

Final

Michigan State

80—80

Michigan

Tied • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Michigan StateTEAM STATMichigan

29-65FG29-65

45.0%FG%45.0%

6-183PT6-18

33.0%3PT%33.0%

16-20FT16-20

80.0%FT%80.0%

32Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists16

7Turnovers7

5Steals5

3Blocks3

22Fouls22

Player Box Score

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxon Kohler	F	33	10-13	2-4	1-1	8	3	0	1	23
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	37	5-13	2-3	10-12	2	9	1	0	22
Carson Cooper	C	29	8-14	0-0	3-4	6	2	1	0	19
Kur Teng	G	23	2-8	2-5	2-3	2	1	1	0	8
Coen Carr	F	32	3-8	0-3	0-0	7	0	0	0	6
Jordan Scott	F	33	1-7	0-3	0-0	2	1	2	2	2
Cam Ward	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Denham Wojcik	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jesse McCulloch	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxon Kohler	F	33	10-13	2-4	1-1	8	3	0	1	23
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	37	5-13	2-3	10-12	2	9	1	0	22
Carson Cooper	C	29	8-14	0-0	3-4	6	2	1	0	19
Kur Teng	G	23	2-8	2-5	2-3	2	1	1	0	8
Coen Carr	F	32	3-8	0-3	0-0	7	0	0	0	6
Jordan Scott	F	33	1-7	0-3	0-0	2	1	2	2	2
Cam Ward	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Denham Wojcik	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jesse McCulloch	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

111.9Offensive Efficiency111.9

111.9Defensive Efficiency111.9

0.0Net Efficiency0.0

49.2%Effective FG%49.2%

53.7%True Shooting %53.7%

9.8%Turnover Rate9.8%

30.8%Free Throw Rate30.8%

27.7%3-Point Rate27.7%

2.29Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Neither team finished level. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.