Illinois

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

95.7%Illinois

4.3%Maryland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -18.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -2226

Maryland

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois 85

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreMaryland 66

Team Comparison

IllinoisMetricMaryland

76.5MMH Power Index44.1

125.0Offensive Efficiency104.5

103.3Defensive Efficiency113.6

21.7Net Efficiency-9.1

6.7Strength of Schedule5.2

12.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

66.5Tempo66.7

54.8%Effective FG%48.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate18.8%

39.3%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

33.8%Free Throw Rate38.9%

14.5Average Margin-6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–44.1), offensive efficiency (125.0–104.5), defensive efficiency (103.3–113.6), net efficiency (21.7–-9.1).

Maryland COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.9–33.8).

Final

Illinois

78—72

Maryland

Illinois by 6 • 61.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IllinoisTEAM STATMaryland

26-55FG26-56

47.0%FG%46.0%

5-243PT9-30

21.0%3PT%30.0%

21-26FT11-15

81.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists8

7Turnovers8

5Steals3

3Blocks3

12Fouls20

Player Box Score

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Mirkovic	F	36	9-13	0-1	4-5	11	3	1	0	22
Keaton Wagler	G	34	3-10	0-4	5-7	3	3	3	1	11
Kylan Boswell	G	21	3-5	1-2	4-4	1	3	0	0	11
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	23	3-5	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Jake Davis	F	21	3-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	1	1	8
Andrej Stojakovic	G	19	2-6	0-2	4-6	2	0	0	0	8
Ben Humrichous	F	27	2-8	2-8	0-0	2	1	0	1	6
Tomislav Ivisic	C	19	1-3	0-2	2-2	4	3	0	0	4

Maryland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andre Mills	G	34	10-18	2-8	8-10	4	3	1	0	30
Darius Adams	G	25	6-12	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	14
David Coit	G	28	4-12	2-9	0-0	1	3	0	0	10
Isaiah Watts	G	13	2-3	1-2	2-3	0	0	0	0	7
Elijah Saunders	F	35	2-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Solomon Washington	F	21	2-3	1-1	0-0	7	1	1	1	5
George Turkson Jr.	G	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Collin Metcalf	C	32	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	2	0
Guillermo Del Pino	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.3Possessions61.3

127.2Offensive Efficiency117.5

117.5Defensive Efficiency127.2

9.8Net Efficiency-9.8

51.8%Effective FG%54.5%

57.9%True Shooting %57.0%

11.2%Turnover Rate13.3%

47.3%Free Throw Rate26.8%

43.6%3-Point Rate53.6%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Illinois won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 61.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.