USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.5%USC

97.5%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -23.6

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -3900

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 67

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreIllinois 90

Team Comparison

USCMetricIllinois

48.3MMH Power Index76.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency125.0

107.6Defensive Efficiency103.3

0.9Net Efficiency21.7

2.5Strength of Schedule6.7

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

72.4Tempo66.5

50.7%Effective FG%54.8%

17.2%Turnover Rate13.1%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

45.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

0.7Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–48.3), offensive efficiency (125.0–108.5), defensive efficiency (103.3–107.6), net efficiency (21.7–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (45.3–33.8).

Final

USC

82—72

Illinois

USC by 10 • 76.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATIllinois

34-65FG23-62

52.0%FG%37.0%

5-143PT7-32

36.0%3PT%22.0%

9-11FT19-21

82.0%FT%90.0%

37Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists13

14Turnovers15

7Steals6

1Blocks4

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Desmond Claude	G	38	12-20	0-2	7-7	1	3	0	0	31
Wesley Yates III	G	31	7-8	0-0	1-2	6	2	1	0	15
Rashaun Agee	F	30	5-12	3-5	0-0	8	0	1	1	13
Saint Thomas	Forward	39	4-10	0-2	1-2	8	2	2	0	9
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	36	4-10	1-2	0-0	4	3	3	0	9
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	13	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Jalen Shelley	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Bryce Pope	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Josh Cohen	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Harrison Hornery	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Elohim	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Humrichous	F	32	6-11	3-8	0-0	5	0	0	0	15
Tre White	G	32	3-12	0-4	5-5	4	2	0	1	11
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	31	4-10	2-6	1-1	2	1	1	0	11
Kylan Boswell	G	34	2-8	0-5	6-7	8	6	5	0	10
Jake Davis	F	15	3-6	1-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	9
Will Riley	Forward	19	3-7	0-3	1-2	1	2	0	0	7
Tomislav Ivisic	C	17	2-6	1-3	2-2	3	1	0	1	7
Morez Johnson Jr.	F	20	0-2	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.1Possessions76.1

107.8Offensive Efficiency94.6

94.6Defensive Efficiency107.8

13.1Net Efficiency-13.1

56.2%Effective FG%42.7%

58.4%True Shooting %50.0%

18.6%Turnover Rate19.5%

16.9%Free Throw Rate33.9%

21.5%3-Point Rate51.6%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

USC won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 76.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.