Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.1%Boise State

76.9%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -333

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 73

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreUtah State 82

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricUtah State

59.5MMH Power Index65.7

113.9Offensive Efficiency119.7

107.1Defensive Efficiency103.1

6.8Net Efficiency16.6

4.2Strength of Schedule3.5

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

68.6Tempo68.6

52.7%Effective FG%56.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

42.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

4.7Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (119.7–113.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–107.1), net efficiency (16.6–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–3.5), recent form (5.2–0.3), offensive rebounding (33.8–33.0).

Final

Boise State

79—81

Utah State

Utah State by 2 • 58.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATUtah State

27-51FG30-49

53.0%FG%61.0%

14-263PT11-21

54.0%3PT%52.0%

11-17FT10-22

65.0%FT%45.0%

30Rebounds24

11Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists18

10Turnovers6

4Steals—

1Blocks3

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	38	7-12	5-7	3-4	3	2	1	0	22
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	39	6-10	3-7	0-2	0	8	2	0	15
Javan Buchanan	F	17	5-7	0-0	3-5	4	0	0	1	13
Andrew Meadow	F	30	4-7	2-3	2-2	5	0	1	0	12
Julian Bowie	G	17	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	18	1-1	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	0	5
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	21	1-7	1-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	3
Pearson Carmichael	F	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Dylan Anderson	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
RJ Keene II	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Ian Martinez	Guard	34	6-11	5-7	1-1	3	3	0	18
Deyton Albury	G	17	5-7	1-1	3-3	2	1	0	14
Drake Allen	G	23	5-7	2-3	1-3	1	4	0	13
Dexter Akanno	Guard	29	4-6	2-4	2-2	3	2	0	12
Mason Falslev	G	39	4-8	1-3	1-7	5	4	0	10
Karson Templin	F	17	3-5	0-2	2-2	2	1	0	8
Aubin Gateretse	Center	23	3-3	0-0	0-4	4	0	2	6
Tucker Anderson	F	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0
Jordy Barnes	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.3Possessions58.3

135.5Offensive Efficiency138.9

138.9Defensive Efficiency135.5

-3.4Net Efficiency3.4

66.7%Effective FG%72.4%

66.9%True Shooting %68.1%

17.2%Turnover Rate10.3%

33.3%Free Throw Rate44.9%

51.0%3-Point Rate42.9%

1.40Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Utah State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 58.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.