Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.6%Oregon

44.4%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOregon -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.7

MODEL MONEYLINEOregon -125

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 76

Projected Total150.7

Projected ScorePenn State 75

Team Comparison

OregonMetricPenn State

48.9MMH Power Index42.3

106.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

110.7Defensive Efficiency117.6

-4.3Net Efficiency-8.4

6.0Strength of Schedule5.3

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

66.7Tempo67.5

49.9%Effective FG%53.4%

17.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

36.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-2.9Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Oregon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOregon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.9–42.3), defensive efficiency (110.7–117.6), net efficiency (-4.3–-8.4), strength of schedule (6.0–5.3).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–106.4), shooting efficiency (53.4–49.9), ball security (15.6–17.8).

Final

Oregon

82—81

Penn State

Oregon by 1 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATPenn State

31-57FG31-68

54.0%FG%46.0%

8-223PT7-19

36.0%3PT%37.0%

12-19FT12-14

63.0%FT%86.0%

29Rebounds36

6Offensive Rebounds13

22Assists13

11Turnovers10

8Steals9

—Blocks3

11Fouls15

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jackson Shelstad	G	37	7-10	3-5	0-0	2	8	0	17
Keeshawn Barthelemy	Guard	32	6-11	3-6	0-0	6	6	3	15
Jadrian Tracey	G	27	4-8	1-3	4-5	1	2	2	13
Nate Bittle	C	28	5-11	1-4	0-0	4	3	0	11
TJ Bamba	Guard	24	3-9	0-3	4-4	5	2	2	10
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	22	4-4	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	10
Brandon Angel	Forward	18	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	3
Supreme Cook	Not Available	12	1-1	0-0	1-6	5	1	1	3

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddie Dilione V	G	24	6-12	4-6	5-6	2	1	1	1	21
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	35	8-20	0-0	3-4	8	4	0	0	19
Puff Johnson	G	36	6-10	1-3	2-2	5	2	3	0	15
Zach Hicks	Forward	34	5-11	2-7	2-2	7	4	2	0	14
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	28	4-7	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	2	8
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	21	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	0	4
Kachi Nzeh	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Dominick Stewart	G	5	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jahvin Carter	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Miles Goodman	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

114.8Offensive Efficiency113.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency114.8

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

61.4%Effective FG%50.7%

62.1%True Shooting %54.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.0%

33.3%Free Throw Rate20.6%

38.6%3-Point Rate27.9%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Oregon won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.