Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.2%Auburn

85.8%Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -13.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -604

Houston

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 70

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreHouston 83

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricHouston

64.4MMH Power Index76

118.8Offensive Efficiency118.4

113.0Defensive Efficiency95.9

5.8Net Efficiency22.5

7.5Strength of Schedule5.9

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency18.9

69.8Tempo65.2

53.1%Effective FG%52.3%

14.5%Turnover Rate12.9%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

43.8%Free Throw Rate26.9%

4.1Average Margin14.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.0–64.4), defensive efficiency (95.9–113.0), net efficiency (22.5–5.8), recent form (18.9–8.0).

Auburn COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.8–118.4), strength of schedule (7.5–5.9), shooting efficiency (53.1–52.3).

Final

Auburn

74—69

Houston

Auburn by 5 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATHouston

27-51FG24-58

53.0%FG%41.0%

7-233PT5-13

30.0%3PT%38.0%

13-19FT16-22

68.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists7

12Turnovers10

6Steals5

7Blocks3

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahaad Pettiford	G	24	7-12	5-8	2-2	3	3	0	0	21
Johni Broome	Forward	33	10-15	0-4	0-4	9	3	2	5	20
Chaney Johnson	Forward	31	3-6	0-1	5-7	10	3	0	1	11
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	18	2-3	1-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	7
Miles Kelly	Guard	21	2-7	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Denver Jones	Guard	27	1-3	0-2	2-2	1	3	1	0	4
Dylan Cardwell	Center	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Chris Moore	Forward	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
JP Pegues	Guard	14	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	1	0	2

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Emanuel Sharp	G	36	3-9	3-6	4-4	2	0	1	0	13
L.J. Cryer	Guard	28	5-14	1-4	2-3	0	2	1	0	13
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	38	6-14	0-0	0-1	7	1	1	1	12
Milos Uzan	G	31	5-10	0-1	0-0	2	4	0	0	10
Joseph Tugler	F	31	2-4	0-1	6-8	7	0	2	2	10
Terrance Arceneaux	G	12	1-2	1-1	2-4	2	0	0	0	5
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Mylik Wilson	Guard	14	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Ramon Walker Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

118.8Offensive Efficiency110.8

110.8Defensive Efficiency118.8

8.0Net Efficiency-8.0

59.8%Effective FG%45.7%

61.6%True Shooting %50.4%

19.7%Turnover Rate15.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate37.9%

45.1%3-Point Rate22.4%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Auburn won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.