Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.3%Northern Arizona

82.7%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDrake -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEDrake -478

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 70

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreDrake 81

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricDrake

36.9MMH Power Index46.4

107.1Offensive Efficiency109.5

114.8Defensive Efficiency109.1

-7.7Net Efficiency0.4

-1.8Strength of Schedule0.3

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

66.6Tempo68.6

53.5%Effective FG%52.2%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.9%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

33.6%Free Throw Rate34.4%

-5.1Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Drake HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDrake holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.4–36.9), offensive efficiency (109.5–107.1), defensive efficiency (109.1–114.8), net efficiency (0.4–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–52.2).

Final

Northern Arizona

71—77

Drake

Drake by 6 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATDrake

27-73FG27-60

37.0%FG%45.0%

10-243PT7-22

42.0%3PT%32.0%

7-12FT16-22

58.0%FT%73.0%

39Rebounds46

15Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists13

6Turnovers10

3Steals2

1Blocks5

20Fouls11

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zack Davidson	F	36	12-19	1-1	4-8	9	2	1	0	29
Ryan Abelman	G	39	6-19	5-13	1-1	7	2	0	0	18
Arne Osojnik	G	22	4-11	1-1	1-1	2	5	1	0	10
Isaiah Shaw	G	18	2-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Karl Poom	F	14	1-5	1-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	4
Brennan Peterson	G	29	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Traivar Jackson	F	27	1-6	0-0	0-0	9	0	1	1	2
Oakland Fort	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Diego Campisano	F	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kavon Bradford	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Quinn	G	34	7-14	1-4	5-7	4	2	0	0	20
Jaehshon Thomas	G	30	7-12	1-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	15
Braden Appelhans	G	27	4-9	3-5	3-4	2	1	0	0	14
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	25	5-12	1-5	3-3	12	4	0	3	14
Okku Federiko	F	26	4-5	1-1	3-4	8	1	0	1	12
Isaiah Carr	F	22	0-2	0-0	2-4	7	2	2	1	2
Andrew Alia	G	19	0-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Griffen Goodbary	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Eli Shetlar	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

102.7Offensive Efficiency111.4

111.4Defensive Efficiency102.7

-8.7Net Efficiency8.7

43.8%Effective FG%50.8%

45.1%True Shooting %54.6%

8.6%Turnover Rate14.6%

16.4%Free Throw Rate36.7%

32.9%3-Point Rate36.7%

2.33Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Drake won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.