Omaha

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.9%Omaha

82.1%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL161.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -459

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOmaha 76

Projected Total161.8

Projected ScoreMurray State 86

Team Comparison

OmahaMetricMurray State

44.5MMH Power Index53.6

110.2Offensive Efficiency115.0

110.8Defensive Efficiency111.0

-0.6Net Efficiency4.0

-2.5Strength of Schedule3.5

-4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

69.0Tempo72.3

53.6%Effective FG%54.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

34.0%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-0.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–44.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–110.2), net efficiency (4.0–-0.6), strength of schedule (3.5–-2.5).

Omaha COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.8–111.0), recent form (-4.5–-9.5), ball security (16.0–16.3).

Final

Omaha

77—85

Murray State

Murray State by 8 • 79.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OmahaTEAM STATMurray State

30-64FG23-59

47.0%FG%39.0%

4-123PT9-32

33.0%3PT%28.0%

13-18FT30-33

72.0%FT%91.0%

35Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists12

17Turnovers14

8Steals8

2Blocks4

21Fouls21

Player Box Score

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tony Osburn	G	33	4-10	1-3	4-4	4	2	3	0	13
Lance Waddles	G	32	5-11	2-4	1-4	10	1	0	0	13
Khamani Cooper	G	25	5-7	0-0	3-3	1	1	1	0	13
Ja'Sean Glover	G	19	6-14	0-2	0-0	4	0	3	0	12
Brock Scholl	F	25	5-8	0-0	1-1	7	0	0	0	11
Kamryn Thomas	F	26	4-12	1-3	1-2	4	1	1	1	10
Valentino Simon	F	8	0-0	0-0	3-4	0	0	0	1	3
Grant Stubblefield	G	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Christian Richardson	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Julian Margrave	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Jackson	G	27	6-13	2-6	10-10	1	1	2	0	24
Roman Domon	G	24	2-8	0-4	10-10	4	1	1	0	14
Layne Taylor	G	31	4-9	1-3	3-4	6	6	1	0	12
Mason Miller	F	26	4-9	4-9	0-0	6	1	1	0	12
Dylan Anderson	C	19	3-3	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	1	8
JJ Traynor	F	31	2-6	0-2	3-5	5	0	3	3	7
Brayden Shorter	G	20	2-6	2-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Mathis Courbon	G	16	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	2	0	0	2
KJ Tenner	G	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.2Possessions79.2

97.2Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.3Defensive Efficiency97.2

-10.1Net Efficiency10.1

50.0%Effective FG%46.6%

53.1%True Shooting %56.9%

21.4%Turnover Rate17.8%

28.1%Free Throw Rate55.9%

18.8%3-Point Rate54.2%

0.35Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Murray State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 79.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.