Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.1%Southern Miss

61.9%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -162

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 75

Projected Total153.8

Projected ScoreBuffalo 79

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricBuffalo

49.9MMH Power Index49.7

106.1Offensive Efficiency114.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency112.2

1.2Net Efficiency2.7

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.0

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

70.4Tempo67.9

49.9%Effective FG%56.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.1%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

43.9%Free Throw Rate40.4%

0.9Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (114.9–106.1), net efficiency (2.7–1.2), strength of schedule (0.0–-0.2), shooting efficiency (56.1–49.9).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (49.9–49.7), defensive efficiency (104.9–112.2), recent form (3.8–-5.9).

Final

Southern Miss

79—85

Buffalo

Buffalo by 6 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATBuffalo

27-50FG24-53

54.0%FG%45.0%

6-183PT12-30

33.0%3PT%40.0%

19-20FT25-36

95.0%FT%69.0%

29Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists16

14Turnovers8

6Steals8

3Blocks4

27Fouls18

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Taveras	G	31	11-15	1-2	5-6	3	2	1	0	28
Tylik Weeks	F	35	3-9	0-3	7-7	6	5	1	0	13
Chiante' Tramble	G	16	4-5	3-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	11
Djahi Binet	F	18	2-3	0-0	3-3	6	2	1	0	7
Curt Lewis	G	20	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Brewer Carruth	G	9	2-3	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Dylan Brumfield	G	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	2
Israel Hart	G	15	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	1	2	0	2
IJ Ezuma	F	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
EJ Paymon	F	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Tegra Izay	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	3	0
Fallou Diagne	C	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Felipe Patino	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Robert Cowherd	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	35	9-18	7-14	7-8	2	4	0	0	32
Angelo Brizzi	G	33	4-9	1-5	9-10	3	3	1	0	18
Noah Batchelor	G	31	4-6	3-4	1-2	11	2	3	0	12
Daniel Freitag	G	21	1-5	0-4	5-6	3	1	1	0	7
Ezra McKenna	F	20	2-4	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	1	6
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	23	1-4	0-0	2-3	2	4	2	0	4
Kyle Jones	G	10	2-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	4
Tim Oboh	C	20	1-3	0-0	0-5	1	1	0	3	2
Mikhail Pocknett	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Omar Migues-Hibeljic	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

120.1Offensive Efficiency129.2

129.2Defensive Efficiency120.1

-9.1Net Efficiency9.1

60.0%Effective FG%56.6%

66.4%True Shooting %60.6%

21.1%Turnover Rate12.3%

40.0%Free Throw Rate67.9%

36.0%3-Point Rate56.6%

1.21Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.