Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%Texas State

75.0%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -300

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 71

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreBowling Green 80

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricBowling Green

49.4MMH Power Index54.7

107.7Offensive Efficiency112.6

103.4Defensive Efficiency99.1

4.3Net Efficiency13.5

-4.7Strength of Schedule-4.7

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

68.6Tempo72.2

51.3%Effective FG%53.4%

18.4%Turnover Rate15.9%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

36.0%Free Throw Rate38.7%

2.9Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–49.4), offensive efficiency (112.6–107.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–103.4), net efficiency (13.5–4.3).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (9.1–1.4), offensive rebounding (34.3–29.2).

Final

Texas State

48—83

Bowling Green

Bowling Green by 35 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATBowling Green

21-54FG31-58

39.0%FG%53.0%

3-173PT10-22

18.0%3PT%45.0%

3-7FT11-16

43.0%FT%69.0%

26Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists16

18Turnovers12

4Steals11

4Blocks2

18Fouls10

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Franck Emmou	G	24	5-9	2-3	0-0	5	0	1	0	12
Dimp Pernell	G	27	3-8	1-6	0-0	3	3	2	0	7
Jaelyn Lee	G	14	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Jalen Bolden	G	20	2-7	0-2	1-1	4	0	0	1	5
Mark Drone	G	21	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	1	4
DJ Hall	F	15	2-3	0-0	0-2	1	2	0	0	4
Kyndall Davis	G	19	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Kaden Gumbs	G	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Robert Fields	C	18	0-1	0-0	2-4	2	1	0	0	2
Tay Knox	C	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Makai Willis	C	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Cameron Simpson	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Barganier	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Deke Thompson	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mayar Wol	F	28	6-6	4-4	3-4	3	1	1	0	19
Javontae Campbell	G	29	6-13	1-3	2-2	7	5	4	0	15
Javon Ruffin	G	19	4-6	2-4	3-3	1	1	3	0	13
Troy Glover II	F	21	5-7	0-0	2-3	4	1	1	2	12
Josiah Shackelford	G	24	4-11	2-8	0-0	5	1	1	0	10
Makhi Leach	G	15	2-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Sam Towns	F	17	2-4	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	0	4
Justin Thomas	G	23	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	2
Mohamed Maxamud	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Alijah Adem	G	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Jason Kimbrough Jr.	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Aiden Goins	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Camden Karel	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Christian Dedivanaj	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

68.2Offensive Efficiency117.9

117.9Defensive Efficiency68.2

-49.7Net Efficiency49.7

41.7%Effective FG%62.1%

41.9%True Shooting %63.3%

25.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

13.0%Free Throw Rate27.6%

31.5%3-Point Rate37.9%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 35 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.