Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.9%Fairfield

41.1%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -143

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 77

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScorePenn State 75

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricPenn State

50.1MMH Power Index42.3

109.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

105.4Defensive Efficiency117.6

4.2Net Efficiency-8.4

-3.4Strength of Schedule5.3

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

67.8Tempo67.5

49.1%Effective FG%53.4%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

28.4%Free Throw Rate34.6%

2.8Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–42.3), offensive efficiency (109.6–109.2), defensive efficiency (105.4–117.6), net efficiency (4.2–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–-3.4), shooting efficiency (53.4–49.1), free throw rate (34.6–28.4).

Final

Fairfield

68—76

Penn State

Penn State by 8 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATPenn State

27-70FG28-57

39.0%FG%49.0%

6-333PT5-18

18.0%3PT%28.0%

8-9FT15-25

89.0%FT%60.0%

38Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists13

7Turnovers7

3Steals5

2Blocks2

21Fouls11

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Sparks	G	35	10-20	5-12	0-0	4	2	0	0	25
Brandon Benjamin	F	37	8-11	0-1	2-3	10	1	1	2	18
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	31	3-5	0-2	3-3	7	0	0	0	9
Cam Estevez	G	23	3-8	1-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	7
Deuce Turner	G	26	1-10	0-4	3-3	3	1	0	0	5
Eric Mejia	G	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Halon Rawlins	G	15	0-6	0-3	0-0	3	3	1	0	0
Ryan Zan	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Tony Williams	G	6	0-5	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaac Munkadi	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nasir Rodriguez	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Melih Tunca	G	31	7-11	1-2	4-6	4	6	2	0	19
Kayden Mingo	G	35	5-11	0-2	5-6	5	2	1	1	15
Ivan Juric	F	22	5-5	1-1	2-3	4	0	1	0	13
Eli Rice	G	24	3-7	2-6	2-2	5	0	1	0	10
Dominick Stewart	G	12	3-3	1-1	0-2	2	0	0	1	7
Tibor Mirtic	F	24	3-5	0-1	0-4	11	1	0	0	6
Freddie Dilione V	G	21	1-7	0-2	1-1	1	3	0	0	3
Saša Ciani	F	12	1-3	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	0	3
Josh Reed	F	15	0-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mason Blackwood	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

98.4Offensive Efficiency110.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency98.4

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

42.9%Effective FG%53.5%

45.8%True Shooting %55.2%

10.1%Turnover Rate10.2%

12.9%Free Throw Rate43.9%

47.1%3-Point Rate31.6%

1.43Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

Penn State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.