North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.9%North Carolina Central

96.1%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -21.0

PROJECTED TOTAL156.1

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -2464

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 68

Projected Total156.1

Projected ScoreNC State 89

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricNC State

35.8MMH Power Index60.1

104.9Offensive Efficiency118.4

110.2Defensive Efficiency108.6

-5.3Net Efficiency9.8

-8.0Strength of Schedule6.4

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

68.5Tempo70.2

49.8%Effective FG%55.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.7%Free Throw Rate35.7%

-3.6Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–35.8), offensive efficiency (118.4–104.9), defensive efficiency (108.6–110.2), net efficiency (9.8–-5.3).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-5.4–-11.9), offensive rebounding (30.9–28.2), free throw rate (39.7–35.7).

Final

North Carolina Central

66—114

NC State

NC State by 48 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATNC State

21-48FG37-64

44.0%FG%58.0%

5-183PT19-40

28.0%3PT%47.0%

19-28FT21-30

68.0%FT%70.0%

24Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists27

18Turnovers9

8Steals13

2Blocks1

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gage Lattimore	G	40	5-15	2-7	8-8	1	2	2	1	20
Khouri Carvey	F	31	6-8	0-0	7-11	8	1	0	1	19
Jonathan Dunn	F	14	2-3	0-0	2-4	2	0	0	0	6
Kyric Davis	G	28	2-5	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Ramondo Battle II	F	19	2-7	1-4	0-2	3	0	2	0	5
Dionte Johnson	G	30	1-4	1-3	1-2	2	5	2	0	4
Kelechi Okworogwo	F	16	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Ryan Archey	G	7	1-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Jae'Daun Slack	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tekao Carpenter	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Justin Edwards	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darrion Williams	F	24	7-10	4-6	1-2	4	8	0	0	19
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	27	5-10	4-7	2-3	4	0	1	0	16
Tre Holloman	G	25	5-8	4-7	1-2	1	2	3	0	15
Quadir Copeland	G	18	3-3	1-1	8-10	2	3	2	0	15
Matt Able	G	27	5-11	3-8	1-2	7	4	2	0	14
Jerry Deng	F	16	3-8	2-6	4-4	5	2	0	0	12
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	19	4-4	0-0	2-3	5	1	1	0	10
Musa Sagnia	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	3	4	0	4
Scottie Ebube	C	6	2-2	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	1	4
Jordan Snell	G	3	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Alyn Breed	G	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	2	0	0	2
Terrance Arceneaux	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Colt Langdon	F	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

90.7Offensive Efficiency156.6

156.6Defensive Efficiency90.7

-65.9Net Efficiency65.9

49.0%Effective FG%72.7%

53.8%True Shooting %72.8%

24.9%Turnover Rate12.3%

58.3%Free Throw Rate46.9%

37.5%3-Point Rate62.5%

0.50Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

NC State won by 48 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.