Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Air Force

99.0%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -33.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -9900

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 59

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreBelmont 92

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricBelmont

23MMH Power Index61.8

91.3Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.5Defensive Efficiency103.7

-27.2Net Efficiency14.9

6.2Strength of Schedule-0.2

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

67.4Tempo70.7

49.0%Effective FG%60.7%

21.9%Turnover Rate17.8%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

35.9%Free Throw Rate32.7%

-18.3Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–23.0), offensive efficiency (118.6–91.3), defensive efficiency (103.7–118.5), net efficiency (14.9–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-0.2), free throw rate (35.9–32.7).

Final

Air Force

63—79

Belmont

Belmont by 16 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATBelmont

24-47FG26-55

51.0%FG%47.0%

8-213PT6-22

38.0%3PT%27.0%

7-9FT21-25

78.0%FT%84.0%

31Rebounds23

8Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists16

23Turnovers8

7Steals8

2Blocks1

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kam Sanders	G	31	6-13	4-7	2-3	5	7	1	0	18
Caleb Walker	F	26	4-5	0-0	4-4	4	2	2	0	12
Eli Robinson	F	32	5-6	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	0	11
Lucas Hobin	F	20	3-10	3-8	0-0	2	0	1	0	9
Wesley Celichowski	C	33	3-9	0-4	0-0	3	2	0	1	6
Ethan Greenberg	G	20	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	5
Kolby Gilles	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Josh Gatete	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Kyle Marshall	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Justin Hinds	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Orme	F	36	8-12	2-5	3-4	5	4	3	0	21
Tyler Lundblade	G	33	4-9	3-8	7-8	2	3	1	0	18
Nic McClain	G	27	2-4	0-0	10-10	4	5	1	0	14
Jabez Jenkins	G	26	6-12	0-2	1-2	5	1	0	1	13
Drew Scharnowski	F	15	3-7	0-1	0-1	1	3	0	0	6
Brigham Rogers	F	20	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	0	4
Jack Smiley	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Aidan Noyes	F	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Win Miller	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah West	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Eoin Dillon	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

94.6Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency94.6

-24.0Net Efficiency24.0

59.6%Effective FG%52.7%

61.4%True Shooting %59.1%

34.7%Turnover Rate12.0%

19.1%Free Throw Rate45.5%

44.7%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.65Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Belmont won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.