Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.8%Alabama State

38.2%Alcorn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -162

Alcorn State

9-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 77

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreAlcorn State 74

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricAlcorn State

38MMH Power Index29.1

101.7Offensive Efficiency96.0

107.4Defensive Efficiency115.1

-5.7Net Efficiency-19.1

-6.2Strength of Schedule-2.1

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

71.9Tempo69.7

48.2%Effective FG%47.8%

18.2%Turnover Rate19.6%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

35.8%Free Throw Rate32.4%

-4.1Average Margin-13.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.0–29.1), offensive efficiency (101.7–96.0), defensive efficiency (107.4–115.1), net efficiency (-5.7–-19.1).

Alcorn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-6.2).

Final

Alabama State

65—67

Alcorn State

Alcorn State by 2 • 64.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATAlcorn State

22-61FG19-44

36.0%FG%43.0%

11-353PT5-16

31.0%3PT%31.0%

10-17FT24-29

59.0%FT%83.0%

33Rebounds32

16Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists8

10Turnovers13

4Steals6

2Blocks4

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hines	G	27	5-12	3-7	0-0	4	3	0	0	13
Amarr Knox	G	34	3-11	1-4	4-6	2	4	2	0	11
Micah Simpson	G	16	2-7	2-7	2-2	1	0	0	0	8
Tyler Mack	G	16	3-8	2-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
JaSteven Walker	F	11	3-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	10	2-3	1-2	2-3	1	1	0	0	7
TJ Madlock	Guard	28	2-6	1-3	1-2	3	1	0	0	6
D'Ante Bass	Forward	19	2-7	0-2	1-2	6	1	0	1	5
Ubong Okon	C	23	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	2	1	0
Micah Octave	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Jalen Keago	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Alcorn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt	G	27	3-7	1-3	6-6	1	2	1	0	13
Marcus Tankersley	G	25	3-7	0-1	7-8	6	0	2	0	13
Davian Williams	PG	27	4-9	2-6	1-2	3	2	1	0	11
Djahi Binet	F	23	2-7	0-0	6-6	4	0	0	1	10
Michael Pajeaud	Guard	31	3-5	0-0	3-3	4	4	2	1	9
Julian Lual	Guard	17	2-4	2-4	1-2	3	0	0	1	7
Kameron Foman	Guard	18	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Omari Hamilton	F	11	1-4	0-2	0-2	1	0	0	0	2
Josh Mitchell	Forward	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Cameron Butler	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.0Possessions64.0

101.6Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency101.6

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

45.1%Effective FG%48.9%

47.1%True Shooting %58.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate20.1%

27.9%Free Throw Rate65.9%

57.4%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.10Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Alcorn State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.