Hofstra

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%Hofstra

56.6%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -130

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHofstra 76

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreUCF 77

Team Comparison

HofstraMetricUCF

59.3MMH Power Index57.1

114.0Offensive Efficiency113.3

100.9Defensive Efficiency110.0

13.1Net Efficiency3.3

-2.9Strength of Schedule6.6

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

66.2Tempo71.2

52.2%Effective FG%53.0%

16.1%Turnover Rate16.0%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

32.0%Free Throw Rate31.1%

8.7Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hofstra HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHofstra holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.3–57.1), offensive efficiency (114.0–113.3), defensive efficiency (100.9–110.0), net efficiency (13.1–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–-2.9), shooting efficiency (53.0–52.2), ball security (16.0–16.1).

Final

Hofstra

78—82

UCF

UCF by 4 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HofstraTEAM STATUCF

26-62FG26-56

42.0%FG%46.0%

5-223PT8-20

23.0%3PT%40.0%

21-24FT22-36

88.0%FT%61.0%

31Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds16

16Assists16

12Turnovers16

7Steals2

4Blocks3

28Fouls20

Player Box Score

Hofstra

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cruz Davis	G	36	7-17	0-5	3-3	2	5	1	0	17
Preston Edmead	G	30	4-9	2-6	6-6	1	6	0	0	16
German Plotnikov	G	38	3-7	2-6	5-6	3	0	4	1	13
Silas Sunday	F	23	4-6	0-0	2-2	6	2	0	1	10
Joshua DeCady	F	30	2-5	0-2	4-5	3	1	1	1	8
Victory Onuetu	F	15	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Biggie Patterson	G	12	1-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	3
A.J. Wills	G	10	1-6	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Joshua Aaron Reaves	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Riley Kugel	G	32	7-15	5-9	0-0	4	3	1	0	19
Jordan Burks	F	27	5-11	2-3	5-6	7	0	0	1	17
Themus Fulks	G	33	3-8	0-2	10-12	3	8	0	0	16
Jamichael Stillwell	F	26	4-6	0-0	2-3	4	1	1	0	10
Devan Cambridge	F	21	2-4	1-2	2-6	6	1	0	1	7
John Bol	C	14	3-4	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	7
Jeremy Foumena	C	9	2-3	0-1	0-2	1	1	0	1	4
George Beale Jr.	G	8	0-2	0-1	2-5	0	1	0	0	2
Carmelo Pacheco	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Elijah Hulsewe	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kris Parker	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

107.1Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

-5.5Net Efficiency5.5

46.0%Effective FG%53.6%

53.1%True Shooting %56.1%

16.6%Turnover Rate21.9%

38.7%Free Throw Rate64.3%

35.5%3-Point Rate35.7%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UCF won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.