Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.6%Mercyhurst

83.4%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL140.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -502

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 66

Projected Total140.8

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 75

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricNorthwestern

45.5MMH Power Index55.4

105.2Offensive Efficiency111.6

102.2Defensive Efficiency109.8

3.0Net Efficiency1.8

-5.7Strength of Schedule5.6

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

65.9Tempo65.6

50.5%Effective FG%51.9%

14.4%Turnover Rate13.0%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

25.4%Free Throw Rate34.8%

2.0Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–45.5), offensive efficiency (111.6–105.2), strength of schedule (5.6–-5.7), shooting efficiency (51.9–50.5).

Mercyhurst COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.2–109.8), net efficiency (3.0–1.8), recent form (3.2–-2.7).

Final

Mercyhurst

47—70

Northwestern

Northwestern by 23 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATNorthwestern

18-60FG19-52

30.0%FG%37.0%

1-183PT5-19

6.0%3PT%26.0%

10-13FT27-38

77.0%FT%71.0%

32Rebounds49

9Offensive Rebounds15

11Assists13

11Turnovers12

8Steals7

5Blocks4

23Fouls12

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Lemelman	G	27	6-13	0-4	2-2	2	1	1	1	14
Bernie Blunt III	G	25	3-10	0-5	2-2	3	1	1	0	8
Qadir Martin	F	24	3-8	0-0	1-1	2	1	1	1	7
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	30	1-5	0-0	4-6	6	2	4	1	6
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	22	3-9	0-3	0-0	8	1	0	0	6
Cameron Johnson	F	19	2-6	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	2	5
James Thomas	F	13	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Christian Gamble	G	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Kaden Fuhrmann	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Sean Lang	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Chris Leman	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Or Faran	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brady Conner	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Vladimir Pavlovic	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Arrinten Page	F	23	4-10	0-1	10-12	12	2	1	1	18
Nick Martinelli	F	32	4-8	1-2	8-11	5	0	0	0	17
K.J. Windham	G	21	4-6	3-5	0-0	7	1	0	1	11
Jayden Reid	G	20	2-5	0-0	4-4	0	3	0	0	8
Justin Mullins	G	19	2-4	0-1	3-6	2	2	1	1	7
Tre Singleton	F	26	2-7	0-3	0-3	6	0	1	1	4
Max Green	G	18	1-5	1-3	0-0	6	1	2	0	3
Phoenix Gill	G	2	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Jordan Clayton	G	20	0-4	0-2	0-0	6	3	1	0	0
Jake West	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Tyler Kropp	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

69.4Offensive Efficiency103.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency69.4

-34.0Net Efficiency34.0

30.8%Effective FG%41.3%

35.5%True Shooting %50.0%

16.1%Turnover Rate17.9%

21.7%Free Throw Rate73.1%

30.0%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.