American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.4%American University

82.6%Wake Forest

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWake Forest -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWake Forest -475

Wake Forest

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 72

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreWake Forest 81

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricWake Forest

48.2MMH Power Index57.6

110.6Offensive Efficiency112.4

105.8Defensive Efficiency109.7

4.8Net Efficiency2.7

-4.3Strength of Schedule7.2

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

67.5Tempo70.2

52.6%Effective FG%52.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.5%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %30.0%

30.1%Free Throw Rate36.1%

3.3Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wake Forest HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWake Forest holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.6–48.2), offensive efficiency (112.4–110.6), strength of schedule (7.2–-4.3), shooting efficiency (52.8–52.6).

American University COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.8–109.7), net efficiency (4.8–2.7), recent form (2.2–-0.1).

Final

American University

74—88

Wake Forest

Wake Forest by 14 • 75.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATWake Forest

25-58FG31-65

43.0%FG%48.0%

8-303PT7-25

27.0%3PT%28.0%

16-18FT19-24

89.0%FT%79.0%

33Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists20

18Turnovers11

7Steals16

—Blocks5

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Wyatt Nausadis	G	26	8-16	4-8	2-2	1	0	0	22
Greg Jones	F	32	3-11	0-6	8-8	7	6	4	14
Geoff Sprouse	G	28	3-4	2-3	2-2	1	0	1	10
Carson McDonald	F	18	4-5	0-0	2-3	5	0	1	10
Julen Iturbe	F	27	3-8	0-5	0-0	6	1	0	6
Matt Mayock	F	34	2-4	1-2	0-1	4	1	0	5
Madden Collins	G	13	1-4	1-3	2-2	3	1	0	5
Chris Eagan	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Kade Sebastian	G	18	0-5	0-3	0-0	4	2	1	0

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mekhi Mason	G	33	7-15	3-9	3-3	10	3	3	0	20
Tre'Von Spillers	F	31	8-11	0-0	4-5	8	3	4	1	20
Juke Harris	G	29	6-9	1-4	5-7	7	1	1	1	18
Nate Calmese	G	32	4-7	2-3	0-0	2	9	5	0	10
Myles Colvin	G	30	4-13	1-6	1-2	4	1	1	1	10
Omaha Biliew	F	26	2-7	0-3	1-1	2	1	1	1	5
Sebastian Akins	G	8	0-2	0-0	5-6	3	2	1	0	5
Marqus Marion	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.5Possessions75.5

98.0Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency98.0

-18.5Net Efficiency18.5

50.0%Effective FG%53.1%

55.6%True Shooting %57.6%

23.8%Turnover Rate14.6%

31.0%Free Throw Rate36.9%

51.7%3-Point Rate38.5%

0.61Assist / Turnover1.82

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 75.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.